CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x025e6213c3fac3c32fda784895a1f3e3aa7e634fb8b43d867b721ce9306f5da6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 1,192$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 59c | 482.33$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.77 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 41c | 391.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 61c | 284.18$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 39c | 279.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Under | 66c | 264.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…3cb9backed Under | 60c | 250$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Over | 44c | 224.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Over | 40c | 217.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 42c | 190.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 65c | 99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 97.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 70c | 91.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 59c | 77.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 60c | 67.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…6758backed Over | 42c | 60.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 41c | 50.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 29c | 41.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 66c | 38.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…ce73backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…3239backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.