CS2 · resolved market
IEM Dallas: BC.Game vs. FaZe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd0e2ca41f9287260d45c5a55a208ab96748e5d2b30858a71b05b35628d7eafb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FaZeof BC.Game, FaZe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3375…a8d8backed BC.Game | 5c | 2,670$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed BC.Game | 18c | 1,943$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.17 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f7…3a4fbacked BC.Game | 2c | 1,674$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked BC.Game | 19c | 1,250$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.16 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked BC.Game | 17c | 1,140$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.87 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe209…536dbacked BC.Game | 18c | 755$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed BC.Game | 2c | 644.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked BC.Game | 18c | 335.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc7…5697backed BC.Game | 18c | 245$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked BC.Game | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa9…511abacked BC.Game | 35c | 76.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FaZe | 65c | 76.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed BC.Game | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb625…7f8abacked BC.Game | 19c | 57.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed FaZe | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.