Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89da26d5b6c94e5860938e02353bdba9bdc0cf392160b867f66ca279135b7812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 8c | 1,674$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 12c | 1,566$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 56c | 742$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 25c | 718.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.51 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 16c | 588.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 65c | 576.37$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.97 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 17c | 528.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed Yes | 32c | 462.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.5 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 49c | 314.59$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 38c | 314.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.29 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…468bbacked Yes | 62c | 300.1$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 162 | 63%102 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 293.6$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 59c | 272.05$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.75 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 6c | 264.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 30c | 258.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.1 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 16c | 248.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 35c | 239$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 66c | 229.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.39 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 19c | 226.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 29c | 210.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 35c | 202.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 200.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 80c | 192.57$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…6ca1backed No | 67c | 182.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…3b52backed Yes | 39c | 179.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked No | 13c | 177.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 7c | 174.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 42c | 164.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 67c | 156.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 148.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 32c | 147.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 41c | 146.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 70c | 143.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 56c | 142.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 132.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 30c | 125.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 58c | 121.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed Yes | 44c | 112.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 30c | 109.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 35c | 106.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 67c | 106.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 71c | 100.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 70c | 97.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 29c | 90.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 31c | 86.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 63c | 86.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked No | 67c | 84.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 28c | 81.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 69c | 81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 36c | 77.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…d9bfbacked Yes | 29c | 76.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 69c | 72.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…e548backed No | 76c | 71.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 66cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 19c | 69.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed No | 73c | 68.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 40c | 67.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 36c | 66.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…9d1bbacked Yes | 57c | 65.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 68c | 62.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…5cbcbacked Yes | 62c | 60.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 46c | 60.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…df0fbacked No | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…ab29backed Yes | 67c | 55.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 69c | 53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 43c | 52.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 39c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 68c | 51.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…0c2fbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 45c | 49.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…0408backed Yes | 34c | 48.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 59c | 47.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 59c | 45.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 68c | 45.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 69c | 45.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…5411backed No | 51c | 45.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 33c | 44.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 70c | 40.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…b921backed No | 57c | 40.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…eceabacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 39c | 38.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 71c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…7521backed Yes | 79c | 37.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0f…652ebacked Yes | 74c | 33.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…bd3bbacked Yes | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 48c | 33.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 46c | 32.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on May 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.