Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on May 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d3739ecb6aac6076242da1fbfee406e61ab9e8988f14dc02e466a24fc94e0f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 11,294$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,714$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,041$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 7c | 651$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 78c | 509.84$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 12c | 475.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed Yes | 21c | 461.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 28c | 435.62$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 10c | 409.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…ab50backed No | 74c | 405.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 6c | 399.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 26c | 347.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 27c | 339.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…c4cebacked Yes | 10c | 308.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 293.6$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 77c | 274.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…05fbbacked Yes | 21c | 261.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 72c | 253.6$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 19c | 250.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…e19cbacked No | 74c | 229.51$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 31c | 197.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 17c | 190.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 26c | 189.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…bc8cbacked Yes | 27c | 186.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…3b52backed Yes | 34c | 179.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 78c | 170.35$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…6ca1backed No | 69c | 159.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 15c | 152.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 76c | 151$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…e548backed No | 80c | 150.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 66cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 68c | 145.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 20c | 140.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 78c | 131.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 24c | 129.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 24c | 127.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 23c | 125.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 123.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 27c | 117$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 22c | 115.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 74c | 107.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 66c | 104.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…e168backed No | 77c | 102.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 10c | 102.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 39c | 101.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 17c | 101.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…f7e6backed Yes | 21c | 101.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 28c | 100.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…f88abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 33c | 98.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 76c | 97.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 28c | 96.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 26c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 18c | 93.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…49a1backed No | 73c | 89.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 19c | 83.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 29c | 83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked No | 73c | 78.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed Yes | 22c | 78.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…66bdbacked Yes | 29c | 75.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 78c | 73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…80d2backed Yes | 22c | 72.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 20c | 71.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf4…d969backed Yes | 28c | 71.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 20c | 71.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 19c | 69.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 25c | 67.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 63.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…467fbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed No | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 26c | 57.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…bb75backed Yes | 32c | 56.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 31c | 55.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 80c | 50.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 41c | 48.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…c0cebacked Yes | 31c | 48.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 21c | 48.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 46.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe0…691abacked No | 74c | 46.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 30c | 45.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…bd3bbacked Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 70c | 42.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…5411backed Yes | 36c | 41.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 71c | 33.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 70c | 32.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 73c | 31.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…f405backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…5cbcbacked Yes | 50c | 23.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on May 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on May 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.