TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof FURIA, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$879,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$976,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $879,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1610…ae49backed FUT Esports52c31,472$16,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,963.413548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed FUT Esports72c26,091$18,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,185.1617062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked FUT Esports52c19,200$10,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,161.9936453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed FURIA49c18,000$8,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,789.9723243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked FURIA52c17,979$9,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,41024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed FURIA50c16,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0004650%23 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked FUT Esports51c15,917$8,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,857.9414145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a8…6107backed FURIA45c15,576$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-48.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FURIA35c13,224$4,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,639.391,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked FUT Esports53c12,660$6,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,922.499565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked FUT Esports47c12,362$5,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,552.8849536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf444…8c90backed FURIA49c10,834$5,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,263.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked FURIA48c10,782$5,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,221.4922129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…0e8fbacked FURIA50c10,125$5,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,015.24988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+76.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2829…12a0backed FURIA50c9,951$4,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,973.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3342…f908backed FURIA43c9,068$3,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.551942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed FURIA50c9,057$4,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,518.694553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports47c8,787$4,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,672.7488746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked FUT Esports63c8,335$5,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.272948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed FURIA49c7,793$3,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,784.5936645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked FURIA25c7,555$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.613315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed FUT Esports63c7,233$4,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.5545646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA51c7,158$3,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,633.672,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ea…8815backed FUT Esports65c6,628$4,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,315.062369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed FUT Esports47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.988670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports45c6,157$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,371.445,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed FURIA51c6,150$3,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,136.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed FURIA49c6,120$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.791030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked FUT Esports51c6,069$3,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,002.6814247.2%67 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed FURIA19c5,741$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.862810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed FUT Esports58c5,544$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.8340264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed FUT Esports61c5,534$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.517065.7%46 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed FUT Esports42c5,221$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.5720448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked FURIA51c5,102$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.1159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked FUT Esports49c5,000$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.3327740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x719b…30e5backed FURIA45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed FUT Esports51c4,959$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.0369445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5997…0beebacked FURIA48c4,804$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3071741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d2…bd9fbacked FUT Esports64c4,684$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked FURIA38c4,569$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.3675245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed FURIA52c4,438$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32521545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed FUT Esports51c4,414$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.821055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed FURIA51c4,250$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.7117737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed FURIA46c3,811$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.0618837.2%70 W · 118 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked FURIA53c3,696$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.8829046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked FURIA41c3,666$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008741.4%36 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked FURIA42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked FUT Esports49c3,560$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.591,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FUT Esports60c3,284$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.341,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed FUT Esports55c3,048$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.7425355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed FUT Esports47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59017249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6be…a0f3backed FURIA50c2,920$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.6310449%51 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed FURIA42c2,906$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.6538868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed FUT Esports47c2,700$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.993154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed FUT Esports48c2,683$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.2610753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8be4…a700backed FUT Esports45c2,654$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.825253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FUT Esports53c2,578$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.0975245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…4a30backed FUT Esports51c2,454$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.88757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed FURIA32c2,442$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec2…82babacked FURIA38c2,376$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.693938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked FUT Esports50c2,374$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.9323646.2%109 W · 127 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed FURIA47c2,364$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.0861034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports73c2,341$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.772,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed FURIA59c2,250$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.537157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed FUT Esports62c2,222$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.6313357.1%76 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed FURIA49c2,169$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.8635054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed FURIA38c2,140$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.7357322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked FURIA53c2,070$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.689933.3%33 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc68…f899backed FUT Esports69c2,068$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.644047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed FUT Esports55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9007844.9%35 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed FUT Esports50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00015962.9%100 W · 59 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed FUT Esports60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80037557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FURIA48c1,987$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.191,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked FURIA46c1,955$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.353426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA46c1,883$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.92,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked FUT Esports52c1,880$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.4819443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ef…abd6backed FUT Esports51c1,873$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FURIA57c1,806$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.611,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FUT Esports46c1,803$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.732,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed FURIA39c1,724$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.996347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked FUT Esports66c1,708$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.573,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed FURIA39c1,685$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.9837440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed FURIA53c1,676$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.5455039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA41c1,645$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.191,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed FUT Esports47c1,640$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.322954.6%125 W · 104 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FUT Esports45c1,619$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.491,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c2…421bbacked FUT Esports74c1,616$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.017057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d66…ff1dbacked FURIA30c1,569$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.83742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3f…ebdfbacked FUT Esports49c1,549$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+72.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd41a…aa9fbacked FURIA32c1,547$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FUT Esports75c1,480$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.843,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports46c1,470$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.8375450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b0…180dbacked FURIA36c1,450$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed FURIA54c1,376$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.9822342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed FURIA53c1,340$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.9537145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed FURIA53c1,300$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68921945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed FUT Esports57c1,298$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.6513454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked FURIA48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed FURIA53c1,233$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.2919057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked FURIA59c1,224$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.2240137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.