TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4337…8882backed Under50c26,014$12,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,932.5188242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Over50c21,620$10,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,729.159565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over50c18,441$9,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,227.0164852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c16,069$7,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,970.2623145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c6,764$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.311,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c3,358$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.521,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Under49c3,027$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-51.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50036453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over46c1,959$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.285,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7d…df55backed Under51c1,882$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed Over51c1,850$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.088946.1%41 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Over52c1,797$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.6323658.5%138 W · 98 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed Over49c1,702$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8681241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under54c1,381$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0927045.9%124 W · 146 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under54c915.99$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.191,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under46c839.33$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.1616142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaec4…8bc9backed Over55c630$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.57163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e03…27bfbacked Under52c540.19$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25020643.2%89 W · 117 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over52c480.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9610140.6%41 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Over51c431.37$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3723456.8%133 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Over51c411.76$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.762564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91c5…c7bbbacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.645066%33 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc918…7411backed Over56c348.45$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506937.7%26 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Over56c250$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.63455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Over45c220.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.496149.2%30 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7731261.2%191 W · 121 L+21.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd374…9d82backed Over52c208.62$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.142161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10037949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10230259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over45c188$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.447836.8%176 W · 302 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under49c183.66$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.999044.4%40 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e1a…a659backed Over51c179.04$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7812162.8%76 W · 45 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2d2…6b15backed Over52c159.62$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under49c122.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.839338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbd…65fabacked Over54c105.1$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.452045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked Over50c102.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5119954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over50c101.88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.941,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4936837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504143.9%18 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f8…773cbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f0…0c9fbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaf8…27cfbacked Over53c89.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.961656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under49c79.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Under39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023226.3%61 W · 171 L-15.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Over47c56.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3055441.2%228 W · 326 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025851.9%134 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over49c54.78$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.22,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Under46c52.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7237322.3%83 W · 290 L-42.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.024146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab2…66cdbacked Over57c50.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.881850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c50.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.822,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1520355.2%112 W · 91 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2528541.1%117 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0950…a26dbacked Under30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159138.5%35 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over77c44.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.281,36066.3%901 W · 459 L+75.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under49c44.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.927345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over55c43.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6567645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce0a…2a11backed Over49c41.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0811254.5%61 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.434742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d75…3f15backed Over54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.44351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e1…4682backed Under51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over50c38.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3638838.7%150 W · 238 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa58f…cec8backed Over55c37.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.711963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under44c36.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.922,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8195…3fedbacked Over52c36.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.552650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Under51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.362450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Over51c35.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.377258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Over50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.532549.8%162 W · 163 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8008…8f1fbacked Over55c34.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.362356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fcd…c3cfbacked Over58c32.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6118643.5%81 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523234.9%81 W · 151 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1556454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under51c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34045%18 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over54c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9437149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf402…4c5abacked Over58c25.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.681090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e39…6055backed Over52c21.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.185100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x883b…82c6backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca6…9da8backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x497e…a18abacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106958%40 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7814…9c0bbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101580%12 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+44.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x688d…464dbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.