Cricket · resolved market
Will England win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cd63c000b65bcaca03ed170ad2e6078a139905d69851e35855ade31f7d4eb39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x327a…2381backed Yes | 11c | 5,509$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.51 | 121 | 22.3%27 W · 94 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 64c | 4,116$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.05 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 68c | 2,007$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.13 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Yes | 17c | 1,825$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.33 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,618$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.19 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 54c | 1,538$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.57 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…f0ffbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 76c | 942.26$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Yes | 8c | 893.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…5047backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…64e5backed Yes | 16c | 598.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 52c | 534.86$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb892…fd3abacked Yes | 22c | 448.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2251…bf89backed No | 77c | 420$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…a99cbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 52c | 366.61$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.42 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Yes | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Yes | 29c | 324.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…be34backed Yes | 11c | 323.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 22c | 285.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed No | 46c | 256.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed No | 77c | 247.56$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…0e61backed Yes | 18c | 188.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…faddbacked Yes | 27c | 185.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 26c | 152.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked No | 64c | 150.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…07babacked Yes | 26c | 139.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked No | 67c | 132.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…4637backed Yes | 12c | 131.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Yes | 45c | 129.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf929…9c10backed Yes | 11c | 123.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 121.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 116.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…510fbacked Yes | 35c | 115.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…fdc5backed Yes | 24c | 112.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb842…330ebacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked No | 50c | 99.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…a086backed Yes | 51c | 92.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 45c | 86.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…f7a7backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…ec02backed Yes | 60c | 83.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 46c | 82.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…ca07backed Yes | 28c | 71.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…e612backed No | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 35c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 40c | 67.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 66.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…ced9backed Yes | 22c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…8cb5backed Yes | 29c | 52.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Yes | 25c | 51.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…aab8backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked No | 77c | 40.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa343…68d8backed Yes | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cd…1ae9backed Yes | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9640…0c61backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f8…1604backed Yes | 52c | 29.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Yes | 45c | 28.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…7900backed Yes | 39c | 27.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 50c | 27.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe561…9231backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…946cbacked No | 71c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England win?this page
- Will New Zealand win?Yes won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.