Cricket · resolved market
Will New Zealand win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b919c66fb3cdc26bd5fc4a4c02d74454be6cc0c556c419f5babf5d475fc63b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf302…08c1backed Yes | 51c | 6,224$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…2381backed No | 23c | 4,850$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.79 | 121 | 22.3%27 W · 94 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 52c | 3,559$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.39 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 54c | 3,492$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.65 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 18c | 1,976$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.06 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…d3dfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,423$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.73 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed No | 41c | 1,277$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.34 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,228$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 50c | 1,177$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.5 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 28c | 1,066$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…b556backed Yes | 52c | 893.04$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.66 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 11c | 623.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 68c | 534.87$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed No | 2c | 522.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…faddbacked No | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…653fbacked Yes | 55c | 442.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.22 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 7c | 416.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…78a1backed No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…3c32backed Yes | 39c | 372.44$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.19 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Yes | 41c | 267.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 37c | 220$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…18f8backed No | 63c | 220$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…3862backed No | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked No | 38c | 195.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Yes | 39c | 192.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked Yes | 32c | 184.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed No | 6c | 182.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 20c | 157.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 23c | 118.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 103 | 16.5%17 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…8cb5backed Yes | 19c | 99.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Yes | 40c | 97.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 82.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed No | 50c | 77.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 20c | 73.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…7193backed Yes | 49c | 73.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…510fbacked Yes | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Yes | 59c | 61.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 43c | 59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 69c | 55.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Yes | 54c | 53.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…00febacked Yes | 32c | 49.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed No | 26c | 48.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…fd28backed Yes | 40c | 44.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…9749backed Yes | 44c | 34.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cd…1ae9backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…e612backed Yes | 31c | 33.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…4637backed Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed No | 69c | 27.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3101backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…ddddbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f8…1604backed Yes | 61c | 19.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe023…61a6backed Yes | 70c | 19.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 64c | 16.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New Zealand win?this page
- Will England win?No won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.