Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ada38504b0eb2cab5e4fa1076a9c863f78736c9eca819fb3497b3dd6990987f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 43c | 1,817$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.59 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 38c | 1,713$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.23 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 59c | 634.54$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.19 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 470.78$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.75 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 320$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 287.84$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 41c | 225.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 210$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 43c | 209.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 59c | 206.49$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 28c | 190.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.54 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 61c | 189$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 41c | 179.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 29c | 171.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.56 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 61c | 169.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 152.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 62c | 148.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 28c | 140.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 118$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…64c0backed No | 59c | 111$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 60c | 107.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 67c | 102.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 69c | 97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 29c | 93.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 35c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 60c | 86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed No | 73c | 82.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 67c | 82.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 76.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 58c | 73.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc266…383bbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 27c | 66.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 70c | 65.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…bf49backed Yes | 42c | 64.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 42c | 59.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 27c | 55.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 55c | 54.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 36c | 54.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 31c | 52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked Yes | 30c | 51.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 23c | 51.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 68c | 50.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8174…be40backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed Yes | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 49.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 36c | 48.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 37c | 47.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 75c | 46.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 54c | 45.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 41c | 43.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 70c | 39.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…f207backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 27c | 38.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 71c | 38.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 50c | 33.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed Yes | 40c | 31.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 35c | 30.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 40c | 30.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…83b1backed No | 59c | 29.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 63c | 28.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 62c | 24.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa343…68d8backed No | 56c | 18.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 57c | 17.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ad…dfbdbacked No | 64c | 16.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 67c | 16.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.