MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8c4a6bb778f5676590657ec266c945fcd787976c23c62a4acc4f15d49259413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 56c | 72,270$40,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,798.69 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 57c | 28,417$16,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,321.95 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 44c | 20,012$8,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,805.17 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 44c | 17,683$7,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,780.52 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 17,429$7,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,888.94 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 14,582$6,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,344.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 46c | 9,999$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.74 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 44c | 9,160$4,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.62 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 7,189$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 48c | 6,497$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.54 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -17.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 4,991$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.71 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 56c | 3,420$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.19 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 3,088$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 1,739$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 44c | 1,614$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Over | 44c | 1,435$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.25 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 1,390$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.76 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 44c | 1,332$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.5 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 44c | 1,223$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 1,221$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Over | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 56c | 1,045$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.23 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Under | 56c | 835.03$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.41 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 44c | 661.87$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 56c | 630.75$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.53 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 44c | 526.11$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.49 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 452$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Over | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 52c | 444.23$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 34c | 441.09$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 44c | 398.49$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 341$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Over | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked Under | 56c | 255.36$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 44c | 248.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed Under | 68c | 247.41$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 28c | 215.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Over | 44c | 186.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 44c | 167.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 57c | 164.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 49c | 145$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 44c | 132$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 74c | 124.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Over | 20c | 119.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 44c | 103.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 57c | 102.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Over | 44c | 101.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 49c | 100.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 43c | 96.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 58c | 88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 33c | 87.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 55c | 76.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Over | 68c | 73.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 41c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 48c | 71.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 64.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Under | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…1aa4backed Under | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 53c | 56.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Over | 40c | 54.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 42c | 47.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 34c | 47.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…bfabbacked Over | 42c | 46.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 72c | 44.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 43c | 41.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 56c | 40.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…d276backed Under | 51c | 38.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…40b4backed Over | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 57c | 35.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 56c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 58c | 34.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 47c | 30.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…21dcbacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 44c | 28.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 57c | 27.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 53c | 27.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 41c | 26.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…c729backed Under | 57c | 25.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 64c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa343…68d8backed Over | 42c | 24.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego PadresLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.