Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f43f5c38e6bb8fb8ef06c1a9eb2309a5b704b7aa0fec7f2d4a86167c853996e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $585,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 179,523$70,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,542.95 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 64c | 73,937$47,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,917.41 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Yes | 61c | 26,501$16,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,334.34 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 63c | 22,775$14,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,487.31 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Yes | 61c | 21,547$13,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,471.07 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 15,241$8,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,416.88 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 61c | 12,550$7,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.46 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 12,016$7,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 65c | 9,568$6,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.28 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 38c | 9,545$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,627.16 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 65c | 9,000$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.96 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 61c | 8,288$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.45 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 36c | 6,858$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.96 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 38c | 6,509$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.05 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 38c | 6,200$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked No | 47c | 6,022$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.34 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked No | 6c | 5,882$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.9 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 60c | 4,975$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.69 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…425cbacked Yes | 62c | 4,874$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.19 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 62c | 4,242$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.81 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 39c | 4,060$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.47 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 62c | 3,375$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.79 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…de95backed Yes | 65c | 3,033$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…f538backed Yes | 61c | 2,855$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.67 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed No | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 74c | 2,483$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.73 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 39c | 2,400$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 34c | 2,175$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.4 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed No | 33c | 2,027$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…a483backed No | 37c | 1,983$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 38c | 1,917$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.69 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 34c | 1,797$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.41 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 56c | 1,788$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.99 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…b1b0backed Yes | 62c | 1,774$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.19 | 179 | 59.2%106 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 39c | 1,600$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 38c | 1,592$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.1 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 29c | 1,585$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.34 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…5ad0backed Yes | 63c | 1,575$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.9 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 61c | 1,524$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.43 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 7c | 1,507$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Yes | 67c | 1,478$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.61 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 67c | 1,407$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.93 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 39c | 1,400$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 38c | 1,359$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.54 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 38c | 1,323$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.42 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,322$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.59 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 63c | 1,279$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.63 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 45c | 1,154$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.3 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 67c | 1,089$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.85 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed No | 47c | 1,066$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes | 61c | 1,039$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.27 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 37c | 946.87$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.09 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Yes | 54c | 925$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…00fabacked No | 33c | 915.55$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 39c | 897$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.83 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…8f23backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…569cbacked Yes | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…6c34backed Yes | 58c | 828.52$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.32 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…32bdbacked Yes | 61c | 814.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…7714backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 41c | 798$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.32 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 36c | 782.03$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.15 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 6c | 764.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 62c | 750$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 734.97$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.52 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 33c | 733.25$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.77 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 58c | 729.12$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.87 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…40fabacked Yes | 62c | 714.29$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.43 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 37c | 708.51$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 14c | 649.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 590.66$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.11 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Yes | 57c | 573.45$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.48 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 67c | 559.54$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.65 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed No | 46c | 554.84$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 60c | 546.07$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.39 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 56c | 539.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.59 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 61c | 535.07$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 67c | 531.13$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 60c | 519.79$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.47 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 62c | 517.44$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.63 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…fd07backed Yes | 55c | 503.51$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.58 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 39c | 484.66$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 36c | 480.28$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.9 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…475dbacked No | 35c | 479.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes | 60c | 474.13$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.16 | 97 | 17.5%17 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 61c | 420$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 62c | 405$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes | 77c | 400.02$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina leading at halftime?this page
- Jordan leading at halftime?No won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.