TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c28,067$9,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,363.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No68c26,525$17,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,616.682,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes29c10,415$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.685042%21 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked No66c7,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.976050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No67c4,149$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.0722139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c3,552$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes33c3,403$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.42,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes35c2,885$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No66c2,772$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.538046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No63c2,536$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.741,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes30c2,462$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No68c2,244$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.992,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes33c2,121$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005925.4%15 W · 44 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes3c2,105$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.663,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9356…e52bbacked No72c2,086$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.634445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes29c2,048$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.921,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes30c1,612$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.63,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes30c1,136$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.662,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes5c899.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4519823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No67c856.36$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Yes45c806.97$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36019957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No67c740.37$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.322,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No71c733.27$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0765651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No62c724$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1416150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…421bbacked Yes42c702.38$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2958432.1%27 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c621.04$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.623,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2533…a9a0backed Yes35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes33c421.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.391,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes38c399.79$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4217747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No68c391.29$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6564850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes21c377.35$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7545528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd883…714ebacked Yes29c344.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.047038.6%27 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes33c330.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.421,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes30c306.08$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.634,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed No64c251.46$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4348055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No69c249.97$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.491,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked No64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3845548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddbb…32afbacked Yes34c220.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512726.8%34 W · 93 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed No67c220$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3377051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568538.8%33 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked No66c199.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1322931%71 W · 158 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes30c187.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No72c183.96$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.512,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes32c180$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.287938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No63c178.89$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1951250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe867…93d2backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-57.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00ab…3573backed Yes26c161$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8650%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked No64c156$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1641551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad5…423bbacked Yes33c143.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.382748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3886…a93dbacked Yes30c140$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220344.8%91 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9641…55d1backed No62c139.91$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6619428.9%56 W · 138 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a30…a8d3backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No68c127.92$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.931,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes33c121.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No68c117.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7495739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked No65c117.82$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1962633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb37…f9bbbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506939.1%27 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5085…0de9backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dad…475dbacked No70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No69c97.68$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6586656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x640b…d920backed Yes26c95.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6819027.9%53 W · 137 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015747.1%74 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Yes33c85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0546247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes36c84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2498134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…45ecbacked Yes30c83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.95637.5%21 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed No66c80.86$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4929556.6%167 W · 128 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes33c78.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7556022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes34c73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8288852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No71c67.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5119069.5%132 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…43a8backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes30c58.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.881,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No66c55.4$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.627540%30 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes28c51.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5227434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed No63c50.72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7712653.2%67 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Yes31c50.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6434540.3%139 W · 206 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.530040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1550950.7%258 W · 251 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x914e…8355backed Yes33c45.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511338.1%43 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked No66c44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9637352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a25…2898backed Yes30c42.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes36c42.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.091,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223540.9%96 W · 139 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked No63c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.437142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed No66c38.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2118761%114 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Yes30c37.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0866056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes41c37.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1748328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed No64c34.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2733438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed No63c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5822452.7%118 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed No66c33.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.519754.3%107 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No70c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.363035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed No68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4110844.4%48 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No71c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4628554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No78c26.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.862,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.451458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.