Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x983db8c911c826001607124e37b65ea0ac2baf2d4f111cb486907a8391e5ac84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 28,067$9,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,363.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 26,525$17,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,616.68 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 29c | 10,415$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.68 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…1bedbacked No | 66c | 7,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.97 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 67c | 4,149$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.07 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 3,552$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 33c | 3,403$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.4 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 35c | 2,885$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed No | 66c | 2,772$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.53 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 2,536$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.74 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 30c | 2,462$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.45 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 2,244$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes | 33c | 2,121$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 2,105$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked No | 72c | 2,086$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.63 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 29c | 2,048$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.92 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 1,612$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.6 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,136$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.66 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 5c | 899.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 67c | 856.36$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.6 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 45c | 806.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 67c | 740.37$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.32 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 733.27$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.07 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 62c | 724$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.14 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 42c | 702.38$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 621.04$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.62 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…a9a0backed Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 33c | 421.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 38c | 399.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 391.29$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.65 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 21c | 377.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 29c | 344.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 33c | 330.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 30c | 306.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed No | 64c | 251.46$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 69c | 249.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 67c | 220$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked No | 66c | 199.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 30c | 187.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 72c | 183.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 32c | 180$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 63c | 178.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…93d2backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ab…3573backed Yes | 26c | 161$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked No | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…423bbacked Yes | 33c | 143.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…a93dbacked Yes | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 203 | 44.8%91 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed No | 62c | 139.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…a8d3backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 127.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 33c | 121.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 68c | 117.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 65c | 117.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…f9bbbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…0de9backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…475dbacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 97.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 26c | 95.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Yes | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 36c | 84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…45ecbacked Yes | 30c | 83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 66c | 80.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 33c | 78.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 71c | 67.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…43a8backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 58.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 66c | 55.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 28c | 51.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 63c | 50.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yes | 31c | 50.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 345 | 40.3%139 W · 206 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 509 | 50.7%258 W · 251 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed Yes | 33c | 45.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked No | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a25…2898backed Yes | 30c | 42.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 36c | 42.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked No | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed No | 66c | 38.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Yes | 30c | 37.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 41c | 37.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 64c | 34.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed No | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed No | 66c | 33.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 26.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?this page
- Argentina leading at halftime?Yes won
- Jordan leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.