Fifa International · resolved market
Spain to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdde18eb2ac5dc7ef0a339c5dd47772443676062be8bcb7cf1979b6f8b84c32d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 61c | 35,117$21,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,663.58 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 42c | 19,043$7,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,923.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 37c | 17,825$6,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,571.97 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 40c | 10,255$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.34 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.96 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 63c | 7,429$4,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.52 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 62c | 5,920$3,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.02 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 32c | 5,718$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.28 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 65c | 4,753$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.08 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 3,952$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Yes | 58c | 2,953$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.26 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 58c | 919$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.98 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…6e64backed Yes | 68c | 788.43$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed No | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 63c | 610.23$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.13 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 41c | 590.32$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.02 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Yes | 58c | 537.95$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 37c | 520.16$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 41c | 511.19$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c2…51abbacked Yes | 60c | 506.07$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.43 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc19…c313backed Yes | 65c | 500$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…e665backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 37c | 482.24$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 37c | 450.37$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.86 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 62c | 438.61$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…be83backed Yes | 60c | 331.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.48 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 61c | 326.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…4c05backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Yes | 63c | 321.44$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbc…96a6backed Yes | 67c | 297.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 61c | 255.68$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f4…9eabbacked Yes | 63c | 214.29$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed No | 39c | 206.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 61c | 201.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0720backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 36c | 190.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…43c2backed No | 37c | 185.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 176.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…2321backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…c26cbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcb…5c30backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Yes | 57c | 146.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…50bcbacked Yes | 61c | 111.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4655…0d73backed Yes | 62c | 109.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…e971backed Yes | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed No | 38c | 102.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…6c34backed Yes | 63c | 94.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked Yes | 62c | 93.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 61c | 88.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c02…0072backed Yes | 62c | 77.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Yes | 68c | 61.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 270 | 51.9%140 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…fe16backed Yes | 64c | 60.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…ceedbacked Yes | 63c | 59.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…1822backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 60c | 57.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 61c | 55.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 41c | 53.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 60c | 50.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…87babacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…058abacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffe…7473backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…eba2backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 44.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…c9d6backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba3…ddcbbacked Yes | 65c | 38.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 38c | 35.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked Yes | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 59c | 33.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 59c | 32.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…9a99backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain to win the second half?this page
- Austria to win the second half?No won
- Spain vs. Austria: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.