Tennis · resolved market
ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Amandine Hesse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8b9f9cadd09bba69601f97b64f358dd93159addfc4b7d0ad07b55a1abaf1f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eva Vedderof Eva Vedder, Amandine Hesse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Amandine Hesse | 47c | 40,168$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 756 | 40.1%303 W · 453 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Eva Vedder | 52c | 33,789$17,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,171.78 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Eva Vedder | 64c | 3,137$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.24 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Eva Vedder | 70c | 2,183$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.84 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Eva Vedder | 61c | 1,497$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.42 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Amandine Hesse | 32c | 1,478$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.19 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eva Vedder | 61c | 1,009$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.29 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Eva Vedder | 54c | 830.26$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.26 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Amandine Hesse | 31c | 739.47$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.25 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Amandine Hesse | 38c | 737.31$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Amandine Hesse | 36c | 675.88$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.24 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eva Vedder | 58c | 666.44$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.64 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Amandine Hesse | 39c | 644.91$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.74 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Eva Vedder | 61c | 621.13$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.7 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Amandine Hesse | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Amandine Hesse | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Eva Vedder | 72c | 468.61$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Amandine Hesse | 40c | 303.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Amandine Hesse | 23c | 263.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…90dbbacked Eva Vedder | 77c | 220.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Eva Vedder | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Eva Vedder | 49c | 198.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Amandine Hesse | 28c | 175.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eva Vedder | 58c | 168.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Eva Vedder | 62c | 167.56$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Eva Vedder | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Amandine Hesse | 13c | 160.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Amandine Hesse | 30c | 154.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Eva Vedder | 58c | 150.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Eva Vedder | 68c | 143.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…6c34backed Eva Vedder | 65c | 130.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Eva Vedder | 59c | 111$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Eva Vedder | 53c | 109.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Eva Vedder | 74c | 105$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Eva Vedder | 56c | 99.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…a25ebacked Amandine Hesse | 55c | 91.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Amandine Hesse | 25c | 89.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eva Vedder | 61c | 87.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Amandine Hesse | 26c | 86.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Eva Vedder | 73c | 84.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Eva Vedder | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Eva Vedder | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Eva Vedder | 73c | 64.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Amandine Hesse | 29c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Amandine Hesse | 33c | 52.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Eva Vedder | 58c | 52.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Eva Vedder | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Amandine Hesse | 28c | 41.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Amandine Hesse | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Amandine Hesse | 37c | 37.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Amandine Hesse | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Eva Vedder | 60c | 34.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Eva Vedder | 60c | 34.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Eva Vedder | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Eva Vedder | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Eva Vedder | 69c | 30.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Eva Vedder | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eva Vedder | 76c | 28.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Eva Vedder | 46c | 27.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Eva Vedder | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eva Vedder | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Eva Vedder | 60c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 866 | 47.9%415 W · 451 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Eva Vedder | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Eva Vedder | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Eva Vedder | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Eva Vedder | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.