TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under1c48,017$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.81435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c7,138$3,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,583.295,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under34c6,000$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.5811631%36 W · 80 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under44c5,340$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.7112139.7%48 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over56c5,097$2,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.3582542.4%350 W · 475 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over66c3,990$2,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.0892235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over52c2,645$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.4173538.6%284 W · 451 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over56c2,290$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.1796846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over48c2,063$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.9716541.2%68 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1403447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-41%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018253.3%97 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under24c1,588$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.588743.7%38 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c1,514$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.671,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c1,247$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.821,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under49c1,221$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over52c1,199$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.221,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over48c1,133$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.182,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c1,084$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.171,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c1,005$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.5538749.6%192 W · 195 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35026336.5%96 W · 167 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under48c999.95$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.983855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over69c898$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.291,02241.5%424 W · 598 L-33.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under49c830.69$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.54961.2%30 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017147.4%81 W · 90 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Under50c585.11$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.961216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over63c332.59$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.941,35445.4%615 W · 739 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under52c305$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3135751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c297.15$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7439549.9%197 W · 198 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under49c260.46$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6916929%49 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over66c259.71$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.31580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4208…a0c2backed Over76c241.95$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8711100%11 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over72c224.95$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9926148.7%127 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under50c223.69$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6225155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under51c214.75$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6237153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over49c204.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.094376.7%33 W · 10 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+28.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under41c189.55$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.72369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over60c165.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.462,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Under61c160$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.63458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over41c159.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5942425.9%110 W · 314 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x709d…f749backed Over41c155.57$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7242151.3%216 W · 205 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3440…6748backed Over47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.661020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over50c123.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.588655.8%48 W · 38 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under36c120.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.411,05341.9%441 W · 612 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over39c120.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.184667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+50.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under51c114$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1413644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Over49c112.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.244564.4%29 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over49c110.94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5826052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Over52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.83857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under58c97.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.892352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under50c96.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1631359.7%187 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf5d…df19backed Under49c91.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over47c90.32$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8719451.5%100 W · 94 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc5f…1f5cbacked Under50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed Under50c84.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.573237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over71c80.86$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.417843.6%34 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5dca…e1d9backed Over77c76.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.873100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over17c70.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.758736.8%32 W · 55 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over65c70.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7533452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under47c64.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1926136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48dd…98cebacked Under54c62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over58c55.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.410454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under49c54.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under48c50.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.59851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under51c49.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.656460.9%39 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Over52c48.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.171553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9891…8949backed Under52c46.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.291637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under49c46.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8711643.1%50 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under50c41.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.039265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.220238.6%78 W · 124 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over51c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over52c38.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.452825%7 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under50c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.517361.3%106 W · 67 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over51c36.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0240051%204 W · 196 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under52c35.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.319844.9%44 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd62…6c34backed Under66c34.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Over49c34.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.283756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over67c32.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.872450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over50c31.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.968759.8%52 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c5…7ba3backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Under49c29.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over39c26.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2639561.8%244 W · 151 L+56.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Under49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under50c24.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2110960.6%66 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under51c23.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.846253.2%33 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3950…0d49backed Over58c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+412.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.