TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: Kashima Antlers O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,003 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd00c…8154backed Over49c405.43$200 inWon+$205.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under50c278$140 inLost-$140.3816929%49 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7079…58e8backed Over50c194.59$98 inWon+$96.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under50c133.92$67 inLost-$66.966845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c83.5$43 inLost-$43.425,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under51c50$26 inLost-$25.532654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under51c40.32$21 inLost-$20.567428.4%21 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under49c36.29$18 inLost-$17.7842351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3552…0d65backed Over52c30$16 inWon+$14.41963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c28.56$14 inLost-$14.281,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c25.22$12 inLost-$12.262,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.