Asian League · resolved market
Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6e51068dd5476e3d0ea8aba0d097e1f6c2df5ff3b2521229ec523054a3773a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 2,740$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.1 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 2,110$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.12 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 2,085$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.76 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 1,484$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.82 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 69c | 608.66$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.87 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 46c | 438.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 47c | 275.91$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 45c | 217.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 26c | 171.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 45c | 144.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 47c | 134$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 16c | 116.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 50c | 101.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Yes | 78c | 62.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 53c | 60.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 46c | 54.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 53c | 44.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 39.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…e682backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 45c | 24.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe8…5135backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: Kashima Antlers O/U 0.5Over won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: Kashima Antlers O/U 1.5Over won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: Nagoya Grampus O/U 0.5Over won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: Nagoya Grampus O/U 1.5Under won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Nagoya Grampus won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-2.5)Nagoya Grampus won
- Spread: Nagoya Grampus (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.