MLB · resolved market
World Series Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe407f2a0500097f53f9a1634b910ac5e85f52bc9389be48096dd81943a6c009c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Blue Jays, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Dodgers | 36c | 4,679$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Blue Jays | 64c | 4,317$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.31 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Blue Jays | 34c | 3,406$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.39 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed Blue Jays | 37c | 3,152$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.11 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Dodgers | 69c | 1,410$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Blue Jays | 31c | 1,111$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.41 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ae…0e0ebacked Dodgers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Blue Jays | 37c | 818.81$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.17 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f8…2752backed Dodgers | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…e021backed Dodgers | 77c | 724.24$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…94cdbacked Dodgers | 70c | 629.47$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Dodgers | 56c | 458.44$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.71 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Blue Jays | 30c | 445.37$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…51afbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 445.21$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…d584backed Dodgers | 67c | 426$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Blue Jays | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Dodgers | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 32c | 321.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab39…c22fbacked Dodgers | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Dodgers | 80c | 222.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Dodgers | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…4907backed Blue Jays | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed Dodgers | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…26debacked Blue Jays | 26c | 194.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Dodgers | 53c | 156.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Dodgers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b96…7b25backed Dodgers | 43c | 120.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed Blue Jays | 68c | 111.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 65c | 110.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf5…55d0backed Dodgers | 78c | 108$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Blue Jays | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Blue Jays | 49c | 88.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x244b…d87fbacked Blue Jays | 32c | 87.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Dodgers | 32c | 79.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked Dodgers | 62c | 76.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blue Jays | 55c | 76.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…e465backed Blue Jays | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Dodgers | 36c | 61.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…0c5bbacked Dodgers | 69c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Dodgers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…1935backed Dodgers | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Blue Jays | 29c | 52.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…21dabacked Dodgers | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 45.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Blue Jays | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…8bdebacked Blue Jays | 30c | 38.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Blue Jays | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a5…e9c8backed Dodgers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…1030backed Dodgers | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1618…f924backed Dodgers | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…9683backed Blue Jays | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…c2d6backed Dodgers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…97d3backed Dodgers | 58c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…1ae0backed Dodgers | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked Dodgers | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.