NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x381abcba07cb7aaeda1c66b0d2f0ebaada645fc4808da8dec02739ee028d3948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Golden Knights, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Lightning | 56c | 71,023$39,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,250.73 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 56c | 62,352$35,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,286.17 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Golden Knights | 45c | 61,865$27,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,572.89 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Golden Knights | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Lightning | 55c | 24,232$13,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,804.53 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Golden Knights | 44c | 22,582$10,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,021.71 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…5388backed Lightning | 50c | 15,488$7,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,744 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +250%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Lightning | 56c | 14,751$8,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,440.2 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Golden Knights | 44c | 13,324$5,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,917.89 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 11,823$5,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202.3 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Golden Knights | 44c | 11,222$4,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,932.08 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Golden Knights | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Golden Knights | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…7218backed Golden Knights | 20c | 9,250$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Golden Knights | 44c | 9,100$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lightning | 56c | 9,074$5,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.64 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Golden Knights | 50c | 6,238$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Lightning | 55c | 5,284$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.86 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lightning | 64c | 4,598$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.04 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 4,444$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.23 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lightning | 55c | 4,144$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Golden Knights | 44c | 4,054$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.89 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 42c | 4,030$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.71 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights | 43c | 3,969$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.73 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lightning | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 45c | 3,422$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.24 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Lightning | 54c | 2,858$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.48 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Golden Knights | 44c | 2,781$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.38 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights | 43c | 2,760$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.8 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Golden Knights | 46c | 2,599$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.62 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Lightning | 57c | 2,555$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.2 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Lightning | 57c | 2,421$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.86 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d33…6882backed Golden Knights | 1c | 2,396$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lightning | 55c | 2,064$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.94 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Lightning | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lightning | 55c | 1,892$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.05 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,850$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.04 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Lightning | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Golden Knights | 3c | 1,534$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 1,523$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Lightning | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Lightning | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 57c | 1,247$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.01 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Golden Knights | 38c | 1,240$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.16 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Golden Knights | 35c | 1,234$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Lightning | 58c | 1,036$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Lightning | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Lightning | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Golden Knights | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lightning | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Lightning | 56c | 901.1$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 56c | 899$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.56 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Golden Knights | 23c | 850.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Lightning | 56c | 833.41$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Golden Knights | 43c | 789.57$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.51 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Golden Knights | 29c | 758.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 38c | 687.56$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.73 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…c28cbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…34a6backed Lightning | 56c | 666$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Golden Knights | 45c | 654$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Golden Knights | 46c | 646.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1c…dd56backed Golden Knights | 44c | 632.91$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Golden Knights | 31c | 604.5$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Golden Knights | 46c | 570.5$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.43 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Golden Knights | 45c | 552.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.16 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Golden Knights | 44c | 550$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lightning | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Golden Knights | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Golden Knights | 45c | 480$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights | 44c | 463.18$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.83 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Lightning | 54c | 462.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Lightning | 59c | 450$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Lightning | 54c | 449.31$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Lightning | 54c | 444$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Lightning | 55c | 443.62$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Lightning | 57c | 408.56$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lightning | 57c | 388$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.84 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lightning | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Lightning | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Lightning | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Golden Knights | 28c | 357$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Lightning | 57c | 348.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 53c | 330$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Lightning | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Lightning | 54c | 272.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.54 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 69c | 264$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Golden Knights | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Golden Knights | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Golden Knights | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 231.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Lightning | 56c | 228.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Golden Knights | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 53c | 226.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Golden Knights | 51c | 220$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Lightningthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.