Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57d84abe570ed54c362a54e5a77489fa051c3e0d0cdfeae36148e244668bf403
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,075,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,379,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,075,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06ab…d376backed No | 1c | 502,584$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f78…f36dbacked No | 1c | 400,572$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f2…db07backed No | 1c | 398,939$5,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,889.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…0acebacked No | 1c | 309,217$4,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,601.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a6…2b72backed No | 0c | 250,781$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…a436backed No | 0c | 223,278$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 28c | 205,743$57,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,406.84 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed No | 0c | 195,180$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.74 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed No | 0c | 170,211$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5678…5ffabacked No | 1c | 158,744$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…745cbacked No | 0c | 128,091$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.58 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38af…2b76backed No | 0c | 124,816$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb0…acccbacked No | 0c | 112,682$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…1132backed No | 1c | 89,167$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26e…4a36backed No | 2c | 87,850$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…18d4backed No | 2c | 87,265$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 47c | 73,153$34,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,022.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…6e4abacked No | 66c | 56,953$37,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,356.31 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +10.0wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…ab0ebacked No | 2c | 56,066$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.57per pick | 31cpaid | +264.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 54c | 54,187$29,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,907.91 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2c…afeebacked No | 0c | 54,083$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d8…f064backed No | 11c | 53,827$5,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,714.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cb…c26fbacked Yes | 34c | 53,208$17,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,237.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ee…9589backed No | 0c | 52,533$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd539…7567backed No | 1c | 52,270$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…40bcbacked No | 3c | 50,760$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…5b3ebacked No | 60c | 47,229$28,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,435.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…4642backed No | 1c | 46,763$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…6541backed No | 0c | 45,852$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb514…d3febacked No | 11c | 45,635$4,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 5c | 44,930$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.22 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340e…2547backed No | 0c | 43,425$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce6…227bbacked No | 0c | 43,241$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf336…c654backed No | 1c | 42,585$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed No | 4c | 41,901$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 0c | 41,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…a3eebacked No | 0c | 41,057$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30b…96e5backed No | 1c | 40,194$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f8…ca0dbacked No | 13c | 39,501$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…793dbacked No | 0c | 39,500$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 34c | 38,631$13,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,413.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1525…85a7backed No | 2c | 38,070$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…f78bbacked No | 2c | 36,955$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…47d0backed No | 2c | 35,361$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…4897backed No | 3c | 33,396$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed No | 41c | 33,270$13,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,693.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…d91cbacked No | 1c | 32,476$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a1…cec7backed No | 1c | 31,643$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 37c | 30,098$11,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,887.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b29…5967backed Yes | 35c | 29,854$10,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,552.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 31cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfde3…c59bbacked No | 0c | 29,718$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 61c | 29,586$18,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,028.5 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969c…87a5backed No | 0c | 29,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…6adcbacked No | 7c | 28,170$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 0c | 28,026$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…32cbbacked No | 4c | 27,938$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96fc…6119backed No | 6c | 27,439$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.64 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed No | 9c | 27,284$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…bb55backed No | 20c | 26,174$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…44a5backed No | 65c | 25,388$16,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,586.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…eb7ebacked Yes | 36c | 24,780$8,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,914.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…b45bbacked No | 2c | 24,493$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…a695backed No | 1c | 23,744$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…225abacked No | 0c | 23,600$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked No | 1c | 23,340$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…cc91backed No | 0c | 23,333$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23dc…17bbbacked No | 1c | 22,985$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed No | 0c | 22,374$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -53%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…005fbacked No | 1c | 22,148$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5310…a500backed Yes | 50c | 21,235$10,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,722.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…f997backed No | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…b0b5backed No | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2804…2dfabacked No | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…f541backed No | 1c | 19,863$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.68 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 6c | 19,815$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.99 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed No | 3c | 19,126$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…5f47backed No | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…4d49backed Yes | 37c | 18,713$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,710.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…0647backed No | 4c | 18,482$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed No | 3c | 18,104$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.39 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…82fabacked No | 4c | 17,231$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.71 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed No | 61c | 17,068$10,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,445.35 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b84…bae0backed No | 4c | 17,025$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.5 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…09d9backed No | 2c | 16,912$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f8…3a3cbacked No | 7c | 16,735$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…f732backed No | 1c | 16,622$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 52c | 15,261$8,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,003.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…265abacked No | 0c | 15,258$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2372…8881backed No | 1c | 15,209$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b21…cecfbacked No | 7c | 15,129$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…17a9backed No | 3c | 15,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…282dbacked No | 0c | 14,961$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 46c | 14,829$6,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,988.34 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…1009backed No | 5c | 14,822$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…398dbacked No | 1c | 14,354$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed No | 1c | 14,242$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.24 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…53e4backed No | 2c | 14,112$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f33…b7dabacked No | 0c | 14,081$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…02c0backed No | 5c | 13,819$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…40bebacked No | 24c | 13,650$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.