NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39407ba145fbee0aa763bfc2bbf8875f4e3683a4383e410dfb35fdbf4233a051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $953,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $951,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $953,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Penguins | 40c | 609,623$242,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366,981.75 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Wild | 60c | 124,575$75,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,122.94 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Wild | 60c | 94,519$56,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,711.51 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 40c | 80,121$32,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,989.69 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Wild | 61c | 78,000$47,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,580 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wild | 61c | 71,777$43,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,612.89 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Wild | 55c | 68,447$37,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,741.47 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Wild | 60c | 50,411$30,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,244.48 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Wild | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Wild | 60c | 39,096$23,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,457.3 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Penguins | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Wild | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Wild | 60c | 22,222$13,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,333.2 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Penguins | 41c | 15,551$6,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,139.81 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wild | 60c | 15,315$9,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,189.26 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Wild | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Wild | 60c | 14,900$8,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,939.73 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Wild | 60c | 14,081$8,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,448.91 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Penguins | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Penguins | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Penguins | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.95 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 41c | 9,951$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,864.22 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Wild | 59c | 8,995$5,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,307.05 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wild | 58c | 8,637$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.92 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…4efabacked Wild | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wild | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Wild | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wild | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Wild | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Penguins | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Wild | 61c | 4,910$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Penguins | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Wild | 60c | 4,700$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Wild | 49c | 4,688$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.26 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Wild | 60c | 4,312$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Wild | 61c | 4,244$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.4 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 58c | 4,139$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.2 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wild | 60c | 3,610$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.79 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 41c | 3,513$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.13 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wild | 60c | 3,007$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.3 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wild | 59c | 2,701$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.59 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 60c | 2,650$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.26 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wild | 60c | 2,502$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.9 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Penguins | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Wild | 60c | 2,333$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Penguins | 45c | 2,232$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.36 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Wild | 24c | 2,025$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wild | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Penguins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Penguins | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild | 59c | 1,997$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.42 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild | 60c | 1,968$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.37 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wild | 59c | 1,779$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.59 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wild | 55c | 1,776$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.84 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Penguins | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Wild | 58c | 1,646$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.77 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Wild | 61c | 1,638$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 39c | 1,310$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.11 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Penguins | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penguins | 67c | 1,239$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.94 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Wild | 29c | 1,202$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.73 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wild | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Wild | 59c | 1,030$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.77 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Penguins | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7b…c0a4backed Penguins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Wild | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Penguins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…4030backed Wild | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wild | 60c | 1,000$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.66 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Penguins | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Wild | 59c | 999.94$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.97 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Wild | 59c | 938.79$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.89 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Wild | 59c | 900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…b104backed Penguins | 45c | 766.67$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…cf6abacked Wild | 61c | 750$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Penguins | 40c | 744$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.4 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Penguins | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…1308backed Wild | 60c | 731.55$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.93 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wild | 59c | 726.27$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.71 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Penguins | 29c | 691.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.4 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wild | 38c | 659.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Wild | 61c | 632.84$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.77 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Penguins | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 11c | 589.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Penguins | 41c | 559$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.81 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 46c | 533$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.2 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Penguins | 40c | 515$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Wild | 56c | 510.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.16 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Penguins | 68c | 503.97$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Penguins | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wild | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Wild | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Penguins | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Penguins | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Penguins | 40c | 493.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.9 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Penguins | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Penguins | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Wild | 61c | 472.41$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Penguins | 69c | 458.77$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Wildthis page
- Penguins vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.