TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Devils, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$449,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$459,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3657…6b14backed Devils67c148,538$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0004452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Sharks33c61,999$20,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,389.591,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Devils68c47,281$32,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,0003865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Sharks34c35,000$11,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,099.9942552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Sharks35c30,281$10,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,652.940550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Devils66c28,047$18,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,511.2514538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Sharks32c25,310$8,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,210.7888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Sharks70c20,000$13,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,030.2326344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Sharks33c18,084$5,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,119.0213449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sharks32c17,046$5,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,591.292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sharks33c15,749$5,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,605.952,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Sharks34c15,717$5,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,423.5331546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Sharks33c13,103$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,831.7737847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Devils66c12,190$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,100.145646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks33c9,700$3,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4991,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Sharks34c8,992$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,941.870547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ac…5577backed Devils20c8,267$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e48…c23bbacked Devils4c6,920$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.35420.4%11 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Devils31c6,319$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.6158841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Devils67c6,060$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,060.29250%46 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sharks35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.9489547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Devils66c4,917$3,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,259.6541246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x935d…151fbacked Devils44c4,800$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Sharks48c4,794$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.6127143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Devils69c4,691$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,233.5730848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Devils55c4,036$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.6230447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks73c3,803$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.771,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Devils65c3,563$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.9530551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9682…738bbacked Devils0c3,550$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Sharks33c3,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,34510356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Sharks35c3,407$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.7115646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Devils65c3,302$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.0169550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Devils66c2,990$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.2814945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Devils67c2,986$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc2…b145backed Devils67c2,985$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks45c2,980$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.821,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Devils66c2,890$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.487447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Devils35c2,860$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Devils36c2,768$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006254.8%34 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Devils66c2,545$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.0762249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sharks33c2,247$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.021,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Sharks32c2,200$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,49663249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Devils3c2,100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Devils31c1,992$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Devils67c1,959$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.495945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x268c…a03abacked Devils67c1,929$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.4757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks65c1,857$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.123,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Devils65c1,716$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.45752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9882…d3bdbacked Sharks34c1,550$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0233100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+154.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86a3…33dbbacked Devils66c1,480$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.793053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Sharks29c1,412$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.6183652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1137…74e9backed Devils53c1,400$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Devils65c1,395$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.7320147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Devils1c1,366$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.557450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Devils66c1,362$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.855240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Sharks64c1,253$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.7920137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Sharks33c1,250$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8406162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Devils65c1,250$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.997948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Devils66c1,228$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.4875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Devils9c1,195$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Devils50c1,140$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.113850%19 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Sharks67c1,043$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+111.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sharks32c1,041$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.881,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b01…0aa5backed Devils40c1,009$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Sharks32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Devils65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…7c3abacked Devils52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed Devils34c953.78$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Sharks75c880.02$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4682043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Devils66c870.88$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.781250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c3…57b4backed Devils6c859.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Devils31c846.88$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.531,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7684…4d2dbacked Sharks34c795.36$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.141258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Devils67c768.66$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51531753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd65f…2c7cbacked Devils66c699.98$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.991030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Sharks34c699$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.457453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc366…73cebacked Devils3c671.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Sharks76c669$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.563568.6%24 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Devils66c612$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.921,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Devils66c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Devils67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40219548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Devils68c589.26$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sharks71c586$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.1661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Sharks35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.436139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Sharks35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4314148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Sharks34c570$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.27245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Devils66c549.95$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.4718750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Sharks48c529.27$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.7230944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Sharks47c509$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.778746%40 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Devils55c506.79$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27928842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Devils65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32568449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c4…4cd0backed Devils68c494.12$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3363545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed0…b051backed Devils42c487.8$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.884443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sharks49c477.27$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.141,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sharks58c462.48$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.881,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57af…1a28backed Devils55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f9…58c0backed Devils67c450$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d26…9466backed Devils67c450$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Devils67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.