NHL · resolved market
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca06670f42594f34c8f4d05c1207f3375d60ecfb2a668abc187304008d727592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Devils, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sharks | 53c | 1,959$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.86 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Devils | 47c | 1,855$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.85 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 53c | 1,527$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.34 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f24…279ebacked Sharks | 54c | 1,344$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…8505backed Devils | 46c | 1,320$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…d786backed Devils | 46c | 1,211$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b842backed Devils | 46c | 1,208$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…385ebacked Sharks | 54c | 1,184$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…9b8bbacked Sharks | 54c | 1,132$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67cf…e85fbacked Sharks | 54c | 1,012$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…aa66backed Devils | 46c | 933$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Devils | 48c | 603.52$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Devils | 47c | 459.29$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.87 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sharks | 52c | 394.95$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Devils | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Devils | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Devils | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Devils | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Devils | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Sharks | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Devils | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sharks | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Devils | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Devils | 48c | 32.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Devils | 46c | 31.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 53c | 29.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Devils | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…0b37backed Devils | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Sharks | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)this page
- Devils vs. SharksSharks won
- Devils vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.