NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb699f3e73711105f9c9185b355f9fb52917c563cad4f6cf706a44df1c80bf388
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4aa…5cfdbacked Under | 50c | 5,033$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…3d39backed Under | 51c | 4,909$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…7807backed Over | 49c | 3,901$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.78 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 2,709$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.28 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7783…b1fdbacked Under | 49c | 2,346$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Over | 51c | 1,948$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.37 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…2f5dbacked Under | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c4…cdb5backed Over | 50c | 1,357$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…d341backed Under | 49c | 1,311$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…321dbacked Over | 51c | 1,236$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc60…38fabacked Over | 51c | 1,214$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 47c | 1,118$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.46 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53df…b886backed Over | 51c | 1,110$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5f…8fd7backed Over | 51c | 1,102$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…2d96backed Over | 50c | 1,021$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…9b8bbacked Over | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…8505backed Under | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…491bbacked Over | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ac8fbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…d786backed Over | 50c | 988$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…2e9ebacked Over | 51c | 988$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281c…775ebacked Under | 49c | 965$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…e405backed Over | 50c | 957$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…4691backed Over | 50c | 933$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e16…991abacked Over | 51c | 930$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…7691backed Under | 49c | 921$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f24…279ebacked Under | 50c | 914$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…aa66backed Over | 50c | 874$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…a943backed Under | 49c | 874$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b842backed Under | 50c | 846$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…385ebacked Under | 50c | 824$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9d…7149backed Under | 49c | 819$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1122…0f70backed Over | 51c | 810$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67cf…e85fbacked Over | 50c | 722$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d7…ae2dbacked Over | 50c | 524$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…e6c9backed Over | 51c | 521$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 48c | 272.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd7…8124backed Under | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…bf2bbacked Under | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…594ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…fbcbbacked Over | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b1…f26fbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 49c | 81.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 28.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5this page
- Devils vs. SharksSharks won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.