TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Utah, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$407,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$415,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2131…aaf2backed Utah41c115,057$47,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,894.735253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Jets60c63,837$38,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,219.2314057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets59c42,183$24,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,704.8288151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Utah43c41,179$17,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,446.5930944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Jets59c23,397$13,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,804.083855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jets56c19,834$11,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,091.5931546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Jets50c14,520$7,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2602147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedff…7218backed Utah50c14,520$7,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,260742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Utah41c11,500$4,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7852657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Utah42c9,500$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,509.9810352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Jets59c8,995$5,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,307.0570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jets60c8,599$5,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,147.4258841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jets60c6,650$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,99019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets59c5,400$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18689547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd339…d3a1backed Utah40c4,580$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.83946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jets58c3,965$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.7257453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Utah39c3,797$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.111,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Jets55c3,762$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.7158467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets60c3,760$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,247.741,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Jets60c3,544$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.465848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Utah40c3,526$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.530848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Jets58c3,307$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.0564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Jets75c2,941$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa518…747cbacked Jets4c2,829$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86a3…33dbbacked Jets61c2,622$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.423053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Jets59c2,503$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.341246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Utah40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Utah26c2,491$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.7582043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Utah42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.9543743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6d…400cbacked Jets60c2,253$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Utah52c2,193$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.716254.8%34 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Utah40c2,125$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27552050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c9…2278backed Utah46c2,090$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jets58c2,011$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.5187447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Utah40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed6…49a1backed Jets60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Jets59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Utah40c2,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.536657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets64c1,968$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.391,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Jets59c1,838$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.148536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Utah41c1,684$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.8116743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Jets58c1,588$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Jets57c1,376$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7883557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Jets60c1,357$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.497149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Jets58c1,247$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.2616241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Utah42c1,193$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.286046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x058b…1cd1backed Utah42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets62c1,169$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.9689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Utah43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7975251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Utah38c1,039$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.1863249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets59c1,015$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.71,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Utah39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Utah42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Jets77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9968449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Utah28c935.05$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.1229319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Utah31c876.43$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.614148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Jets60c828.95$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3730152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Jets59c827.57$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.0162249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec9…2c29backed Jets61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jets55c818.2$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.981,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah39c749.99$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.51,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0675…492cbacked Utah41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb12c…85bebacked Jets61c731$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Utah43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.673661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Utah43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6723047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jets59c688$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.9275155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Jets60c667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Utah45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Utah48c646.52$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.1940550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Utah72c633.83$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Utah41c604.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.953740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Utah42c595.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2441248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets59c594$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.461,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Utah46c553.54$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.547236.1%26 W · 46 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Jets67c520.97$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.0733848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Utah40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004045%18 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Utah41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.823653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93c6…90d0backed Utah47c424.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.173748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets61c353.92$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.791,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ff…bd61backed Jets60c325$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Jets58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17475946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x383e…ab30backed Jets12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d8…d527backed Utah41c300$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked Utah39c299.64$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.781844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Jets60c266.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Jets59c260$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.476450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Jets59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.574951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Utah41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.523741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Utah40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.518750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Utah46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3917841%73 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Utah46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3945447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Jets57c210$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.73357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Utah42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b0…0197backed Utah40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc394…489cbacked Utah40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…f407backed Jets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb003…6345backed Jets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffa7…2838backed Jets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.