TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Islanders, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$405,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$413,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3657…6b14backed Hurricanes67c266,423$178,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,083.74452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Islanders33c128,990$42,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,566.7314057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Islanders33c79,449$26,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,019.3421652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Islanders33c32,239$10,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,690.5641246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Islanders33c30,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,90025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hurricanes67c20,000$13,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.9642552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders34c8,995$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,058.370547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Hurricanes68c8,822$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,823.065253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Islanders33c8,809$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9073246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Islanders11c7,214$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.5914538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Islanders35c7,072$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.4530551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Islanders8c6,189$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.2485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Islanders32c5,122$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.937847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Islanders33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Islanders33c3,079$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.7130848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Hurricanes68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96011946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Hurricanes66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.996657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ed6…49a1backed Islanders33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.922441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dc2…b145backed Hurricanes67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.071154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf6…ef18backed Hurricanes68c2,500$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders12c2,222$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.291,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Islanders31c2,116$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65640550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders33c2,043$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.491,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd063…e5b5backed Hurricanes66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Islanders32c1,909$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.982,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Hurricanes66c1,859$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.036737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2668…aff8backed Islanders33c1,552$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Islanders34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51024845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Hurricanes69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4656048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Hurricanes68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x268c…a03abacked Hurricanes68c1,474$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.52757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Hurricanes65c1,456$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.7369550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Hurricanes68c1,441$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1830946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Islanders32c1,400$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44853337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a3…33dbbacked Hurricanes68c1,380$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.63053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Hurricanes65c1,359$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.6587447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Islanders33c1,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9934845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Islanders1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Islanders33c1,104$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.3257453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9b…1fb3backed Islanders33c1,100$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Islanders34c1,059$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Hurricanes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3202839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Islanders33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…151fbacked Hurricanes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hurricanes71c957$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.6558841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7058…26b2backed Hurricanes68c950.96$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2cc…4b4abacked Islanders33c945.45$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c4…4cd0backed Hurricanes68c920.52$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.523545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7df…27cdbacked Islanders33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0cc…5cb7backed Islanders32c900$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x975e…60f7backed Hurricanes66c900$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed Islanders33c888.09$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.072441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a76…9aa9backed Hurricanes68c882.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Islanders32c747.35$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1515448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9844…5e6cbacked Hurricanes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.272441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3445…7488backed Hurricanes68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.291741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Islanders15c701.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2429319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Hurricanes67c700$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22915155%83 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders5c699.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.961,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Islanders34c676.47$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2306864.7%44 W · 24 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc439…1308backed Hurricanes67c676.22$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.154067.5%27 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Islanders32c664.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.819942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Islanders33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hurricanes68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19219548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Islanders3c599.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Islanders32c578.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.281,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Islanders33c566.09$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7162249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a9…df50backed Islanders34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Hurricanes68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.185945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9149…6661backed Islanders34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Hurricanes66c394.01$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.918750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Hurricanes67c361$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.135646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…5a55backed Islanders33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007243.1%31 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Hurricanes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0323653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Islanders32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Hurricanes69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Islanders34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Islanders34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…aaecbacked Hurricanes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Hurricanes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1214148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…7607backed Islanders34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ff…5e00backed Hurricanes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x111c…3cabbacked Hurricanes68c291.83$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.831040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12cb…cc16backed Islanders12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-79.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Hurricanes68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803850%19 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Islanders32c240$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.85250%26 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x813e…31c8backed Hurricanes69c230$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-55.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Islanders32c201.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4148748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Islanders32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6414447.9%69 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Islanders32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6443944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13ea…a61abacked Islanders32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+60%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Islanders10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…2decbacked Islanders32c199.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.995644.6%25 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b7…bb20backed Islanders34c194.12$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+33.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Islanders32c192.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.613440.3%54 W · 80 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Islanders32c183$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5614848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Islanders24c170$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.434032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Islanders12c168.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203941%16 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.