NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5571a425ea5c8fc87b8f01eb3dbb6a07498f5e0e909be30c51d276fcb9a730ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 51c | 125,390$63,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,408.21 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 36,844$18,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,482.81 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 48c | 23,433$11,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,292.57 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 48c | 19,073$9,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,155.18 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 10,300$4,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 48c | 8,742$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,208.26 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 5,677$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.02 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b1…f26fbacked Over | 49c | 5,536$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 50c | 4,300$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 49c | 4,025$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.19 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 39c | 3,146$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.47 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…d786backed Under | 52c | 3,095$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 51c | 2,555$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…8505backed Over | 48c | 1,802$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…aa66backed Under | 52c | 1,739$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 49c | 1,229$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.92 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c4…cdb5backed Under | 51c | 1,210$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b842backed Over | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…2d96backed Under | 52c | 891$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4aa…5cfdbacked Under | 51c | 875$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…4691backed Under | 51c | 861$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d7…ae2dbacked Under | 51c | 842$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cf…e85fbacked Over | 48c | 841$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 51c | 785$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.65 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…e405backed Under | 51c | 752$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Under | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Under | 48c | 597.96$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…385ebacked Over | 48c | 452$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f24…279ebacked Over | 48c | 432$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…9b8bbacked Over | 48c | 267$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 50c | 266.65$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…3b53backed Under | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Over | 53c | 175.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c0…93fdbacked Under | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…fbcbbacked Under | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 49c | 100.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Over | 52c | 54.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over | 54c | 53.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Islanders vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.