TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c45…0ac6backed Yes28c9,894$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,77050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c6,372$4,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.851,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes51c4,891$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50018257.1%104 W · 78 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c3,907$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.035,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes59c3,113$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.322035%7 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-37.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8103458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes62c2,829$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.193363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd08…bd74backed Yes42c2,742$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No44c2,519$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.041070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+48.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No51c2,393$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.495349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c2,263$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.82,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c2,252$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.191,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No48c2,070$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.543256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Yes52c1,820$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Yes47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes48c1,369$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.544341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No51c1,290$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.29246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98cb…a127backed No58c1,081$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5829…e46bbacked Yes42c1,068$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadbd…93f9backed No58c1,042$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+54.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No39c1,030$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.8653148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed No39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6102245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No43c944.79$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.5115036.7%55 W · 95 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes27c918.93$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1549044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No51c880.3$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.17966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No42c857.52$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.1616647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No42c710.07$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.844136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes47c707.16$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.8947155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6a…21c3backed Yes42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+78.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fcc…8ef0backed No58c692$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+55.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No48c634$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6810846.3%50 W · 58 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe71…38d2backed No58c628$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…8191backed No58c619$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No46c612.2$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.5613746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9498…d950backed No58c586$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes53c548.94$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1693446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x846d…4ab2backed Yes42c540$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd07…0058backed No58c540$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5140…a2debacked No58c528$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f51…c63cbacked Yes42c523$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No40c517.79$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.515655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes42c512$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012861.7%79 W · 49 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes53c479.17$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.963151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb50c…8c30backed No58c453$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No46c439.55$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3630049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425a…78cbbacked No58c430$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No41c410.79$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.958229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006636.4%24 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No79c394.64$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0684347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No48c391.65$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.6612552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes30c381.63$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.421,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No49c350.18$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9640448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Yes52c332.86$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.962356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Yes61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9322…01e3backed Yes42c294$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a8…0c57backed Yes42c292$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes36c272.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.833721.6%8 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-64.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes36c236.28$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8734558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No80c224$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6628251.4%145 W · 137 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked No48c219.78$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.071154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…866fbacked No51c210.88$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90da…3768backed No51c209.86$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x907c…dd5fbacked No53c208.01$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.765100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+501.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd5c8…872bbacked No51c206.7$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.28785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x608d…ad99backed No53c206.36$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e27…a24cbacked No51c205.75$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…8e97backed No51c205.75$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0029…80ecbacked No53c203.95$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cbf…7007backed No51c202.39$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c8…e7eabacked No51c201.89$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e5d…cb42backed No51c201.76$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.866100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d04…249bbacked No53c201.74$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc5…f09fbacked No51c201$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc689…51e3backed No53c201$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff6…2ff7backed No51c200.89$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c200.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.281,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76c7…28aebacked No51c199.79$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffde…2838backed No53c199.12$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdab5…95a1backed No51c199.11$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes21c198.59$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6329425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d1…553dbacked No51c198.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460d…1cedbacked No51c198.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.14475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+118.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b6…e145backed No51c198.14$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes37c196.8$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5539058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa731…600cbacked No53c196.28$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x619a…ff81backed No51c196.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff0…053cbacked No51c196.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39b8…8031backed No51c195.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ca…76f2backed No53c195.11$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb98…be21backed No51c195.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.564100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa55…9d17backed No53c194.81$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b2f…fcdcbacked No53c194.23$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.294100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f0f…820bbacked No51c194.16$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1494…0593backed No51c194.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x979c…a93cbacked No53c194.02$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.195100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8f8…3870backed No53c193.91$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.144100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.