TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No72c2,486$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.085,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7118952.9%100 W · 89 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes44c1,618$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.9293535.2%329 W · 606 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes16c1,493$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.761,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Yes32c1,469$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.31540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+128.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes47c694.07$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.886636.4%24 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes21c691.12$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.474136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes25c679.39$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0640448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes25c672.03$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9993446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes26c626.59$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.861,12646.3%521 W · 605 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c588.68$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.532,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No76c577.93$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes25c569.02$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.591,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No55c537.03$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.561,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Yes26c458.73$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.271258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes20c442$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.472944.2%322 W · 407 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No68c396.84$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9615036.7%55 W · 95 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No53c378.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.983452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed No56c364.1$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.644247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes22c352.26$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3329425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No74c337.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8413746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…61babacked No77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff70…78abbacked Yes20c286.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No73c262.69$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3134558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No73c237.71$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9739058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b45…e3febacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes24c218.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3630049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes46c217.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes26c209.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.59444.7%42 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No64c194.23$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2384347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Yes27c171.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+94.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes46c157.83$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.469542.1%40 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No73c149.6$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2722656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes17c144$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4853148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29f…b2f0backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No73c136.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7447860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes20c115.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.55635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No79c114.46$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5724247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes20c109.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4142725.8%110 W · 317 L-34.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes17c105.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7748…8befbacked No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7820…ae84backed No57c98.46$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No66c98.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.255250%26 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes22c93.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.741936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed No56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed No57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Yes23c85.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes56c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.65461.1%33 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab77…be6abacked Yes33c83.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.541030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-60.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed No72c77.51$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155920.3%12 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes30c73.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1746422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes34c71.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.341,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked No72c68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.042560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked No46c67.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.39922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes28c63.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8832560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes26c63.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4119856.1%111 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.817151.5%88 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes21c52.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Yes29c47.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.991540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes31c44.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8614149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c0…2489backed Yes42c43.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.441040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes40c42.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.24141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No69c41.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.926940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105446.3%25 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb803…8744backed Yes33c39.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed No58c37.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.833663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes55c36.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2540156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No78c36.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8918542.7%79 W · 106 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No77c34.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.085066%33 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No64c33.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No52c32.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.713563.7%86 W · 49 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.476663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44cb…feb2backed Yes47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.278068.8%55 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked No76c29.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61bb…1627backed No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.035976.3%45 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes42c26.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9347155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No75c25.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.363966.7%26 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0416…94c4backed No74c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0911853.4%63 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed No72c20.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.844768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7f8…2e4cbacked No74c20.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.37366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No77c19.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5116561.2%101 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No76c18.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5515358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93f9…2c46backed No76c16.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed No74c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1613666.2%90 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No72c15.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.466259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec74…9e6abacked No72c13.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…622cbacked No78c13.35$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.