Asian League · resolved market
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb96a1c3a059f999de8d87faaaa84c6eda3f9073d1c61e13ebe8c0bfc0e8a105e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 70c | 1,471$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.11 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 29c | 1,372$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.85 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 1,313$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.51 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 54c | 1,114$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 45c | 1,109$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.89 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 24c | 721.16$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.08 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 647.75$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.05 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 34c | 517.05$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 40c | 509.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 15c | 499.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 493.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 466.14$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.64 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 438.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 74c | 426.5$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 76c | 424.74$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…6682backed Yes | 80c | 356.23$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 353.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.11 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 59c | 352.91$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.81 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 20c | 301.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 219.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.74 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 24c | 219.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 193.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 59c | 163.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 20c | 142.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 71c | 140.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 66c | 132.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 76c | 130$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 57c | 107.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 106.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…6ce4backed Yes | 72c | 103.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 100.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed No | 76c | 100.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 68c | 96.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 83.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…ae84backed No | 74c | 77.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Yes | 65c | 76.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 76.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 47c | 64.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 61.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 28c | 58.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Yes | 24c | 57.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 28c | 56.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 48c | 51.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 50.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 79c | 49.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 38.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 59c | 35.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 70c | 30.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…bff8backed No | 35c | 30.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ef…ddaabacked Yes | 66c | 25.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 46c | 22.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…f3babacked No | 78c | 22.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Yes | 58c | 20.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…75c6backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 18.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…8517backed Yes | 70c | 18.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…45febacked Yes | 62c | 17.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 61c | 17.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 16.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 76c | 14.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?No won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.