Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09a666b396fe2d109eb5d7f2ceb2503e44af24533ad4a7ef032f32b7eda6dc62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Appalachian State Mountaineersof Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, Appalachian State Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,890 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 75c | 1,958$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…b4e1backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 1,380$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…fb46backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 75c | 1,366$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 1,314$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 75c | 948$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 75c | 878$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 75c | 868$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 726$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…aec3backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 720$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 680$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 656$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 622$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 10c | 600$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…cacebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 75c | 274$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 143$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…2dacbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 131$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 34.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.