NHL · resolved market
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8651c2cb830837b7c249119b3cea433ff9e88142e25f87fd1132c135fc65a97b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HC Sochiof Shanghai Dragons, HC Sochi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Shanghai Dragons | 1c | 3,110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +3,174.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Shanghai Dragons | 52c | 1,942$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed Shanghai Dragons | 15c | 1,146$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed HC Sochi | 48c | 977$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed HC Sochi | 48c | 965$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Shanghai Dragons | 3c | 895.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Shanghai Dragons | 52c | 857$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed Shanghai Dragons | 52c | 848$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked HC Sochi | 48c | 734$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Shanghai Dragons | 52c | 734$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed HC Sochi | 48c | 572$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed HC Sochi | 48c | 570$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked HC Sochi | 48c | 563$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…42fbbacked Shanghai Dragons | 63c | 220$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…c581backed Shanghai Dragons | 61c | 220$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…68b9backed Shanghai Dragons | 15c | 217$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…6044backed HC Sochi | 37c | 210$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe8…56d3backed HC Sochi | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…3a3bbacked Shanghai Dragons | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ad…02b0backed Shanghai Dragons | 50c | 188.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…bd8abacked HC Sochi | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked HC Sochi | 10c | 171.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +377.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Shanghai Dragons | 42c | 119.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed HC Sochi | 73c | 96.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Shanghai Dragons | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Shanghai Dragons | 57c | 57.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Shanghai Dragons | 62c | 43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed Shanghai Dragons | 44c | 42.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Shanghai Dragons | 34c | 32.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed HC Sochi | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.