TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,193 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa22e…109cbacked No38c1,192$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5395…9d41backed No39c959$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.991580%12 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+89.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9efe…d947backed Yes61c876$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes34c868$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.122347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes30c831.6$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1513321.1%28 W · 105 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes51c810$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.13336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8d…24efbacked No45c799$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.451250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc03…cd5cbacked Yes62c769$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d9d…a002backed No37c729$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.271241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10df…04a9backed No45c684.14$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.413125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7039…2d8abacked Yes55c681$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.55825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…0137backed Yes61c654$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6478…49f3backed Yes31c647$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.57742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa1…827bbacked Yes63c640$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.2825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b4f…3b33backed No69c636$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+104.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5d…4e58backed No45c616$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.81947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b92…7585backed Yes63c594$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.221118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d48…d6f1backed No49c579$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dd…5514backed No61c568$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.281428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes35c538.02$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18748236.3%175 W · 307 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa680…c13fbacked No36c441$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f51…c63cbacked Yes64c436$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe71…38d2backed Yes63c436$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.68850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33e2…e1babacked No49c429$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.391338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes56c410$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.185549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd07…0058backed Yes64c404$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.561833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce25…4e7dbacked No47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2122948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab21…4b87backed Yes53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed Yes63c380$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.42128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1a…99f7backed No37c380$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d6…9357backed Yes63c371$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.73922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed No37c371$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.734645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed No45c352.82$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.363066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+52.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…6e2ebacked Yes63c350$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611f…1f84backed No37c349$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.87944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed Yes63c325$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.752343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+97.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7289…4bffbacked No36c324$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…15c2backed Yes34c315.29$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.51650%8 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes63c314$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.822445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…9416backed No37c314$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.82933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Yes62c309$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.583652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc70…50c0backed No37c299$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.37560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+73.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed No48c296$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.562040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…cd36backed No37c295$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.851030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0b2…9d96backed No37c268$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.841457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes29c258.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4612938.8%50 W · 79 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes56c258$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.426541.9%111 W · 154 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Yes63c257$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.913528.6%10 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-45.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd08…bd74backed No66c232$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.881250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No58c230.9$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.344316.3%7 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed No60c209.22$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.162552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes34c203.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70258%2 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…cae1backed Yes62c197$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.311080%8 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+161.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0aec…fdafbacked No37c196$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed No36c195$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.83135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked No54c177$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.324634.6%85 W · 161 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f4…c6b8backed No45c144.15$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea1…590abacked No45c144.06$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x630b…9b72backed No45c144.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b1…28eabacked No45c143.82$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1079…037fbacked No45c143.43$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcd…dfbcbacked No45c143.16$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7704…a763backed No40c142.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdb…74d8backed No45c142.4$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8f…301bbacked No45c140.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x491b…2251backed No40c140.11$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a3…2797backed No45c139.51$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a56…a694backed No45c136.61$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e9…4ea2backed No45c136.13$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x286d…636bbacked No45c135.57$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…cbdfbacked No45c134.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83b…e6dbbacked No45c133.37$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No41c132.73$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.811,21817.8%217 W · 1,001 L-124.0wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb242…d63fbacked No45c130.7$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9d…96ebbacked No45c130.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d00…9017backed No45c130.08$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5e…b830backed No45c129.91$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a1…0f77backed No45c129.53$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…af72backed No45c129.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1753…2361backed No45c129.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0eb…97e7backed No45c128.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f1…9167backed No45c127.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b1…102abacked No45c127.13$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7be7…af3ebacked No45c126.32$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0949…ae73backed No45c125.89$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ea…079fbacked No45c124.62$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f1b…f8c9backed No45c124.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff1…cbcbbacked No45c123.31$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…fc9fbacked No45c123.07$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x169a…55e4backed Yes64c120$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.82536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe60…7787backed Yes55c118.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47dc…3ef2backed Yes55c117.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f2…5d25backed Yes55c117.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5355…4a9cbacked Yes55c117.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93aa…77cfbacked Yes55c117.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…adc5backed Yes55c116.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03c…f339backed Yes55c116.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24c…43efbacked Yes55c115.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x697f…e847backed Yes55c115.34$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.