Movies · resolved market
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf83cb3e04e41497723fda6e08021bda61be1da4938c007041d2d0b2dcad71797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcd6…84cdbacked No | 2c | 17,584$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Yes | 43c | 7,049$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 60c | 5,861$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535.29 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 7c | 2,277$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 2c | 2,260$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a6…8b84backed Yes | 78c | 1,875$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 21c | 1,448$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.01 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,046$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.18 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 76c | 1,013$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.97 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 2c | 999$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 76c | 959.96$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 25c | 790.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.77 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Yes | 30c | 730.79$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.43 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed Yes | 20c | 647$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked No | 74c | 622$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…0626backed Yes | 27c | 588.7$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 60c | 534$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.53 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…66bcbacked No | 80c | 529$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…e321backed Yes | 72c | 516.15$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 67c | 513$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked No | 74c | 488$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 26c | 488$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed No | 67c | 484$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 33c | 483$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 42c | 473.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.99 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…8807backed Yes | 27c | 459.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a8…2fb3backed Yes | 32c | 420.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 39c | 402.69$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.54 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed Yes | 25c | 396$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed No | 75c | 394$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 40c | 381.07$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked Yes | 24c | 381$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed No | 76c | 381$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…1cedbacked Yes | 27c | 341.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.39 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 74c | 336.29$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.69 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked Yes | 33c | 322$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed No | 74c | 280$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a4…a89dbacked Yes | 18c | 273$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 24c | 272.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 269.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.76 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed No | 67c | 250$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…9ca7backed Yes | 33c | 249$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +141.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked No | 75c | 247$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbe…04b4backed Yes | 25c | 245$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 38c | 240.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 69c | 228.54$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed No | 67c | 227$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…5548backed Yes | 32c | 202.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…1f4fbacked Yes | 29c | 173.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed Yes | 28c | 172$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 59c | 170.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8015…da39backed Yes | 29c | 170.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 23c | 164$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 48c | 158$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…8fd8backed Yes | 32c | 157.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 24c | 156.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 26c | 154$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 70c | 152.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 29c | 150.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…df9cbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed No | 74c | 144$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed No | 75c | 133.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 72c | 127$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed No | 80c | 118$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 21c | 117.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 15c | 116$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 21c | 102.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac9…58babacked Yes | 29c | 99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Yes | 33c | 96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…1f15backed No | 67c | 95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed No | 67c | 94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 40c | 84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…b78bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a5…18d2backed Yes | 29c | 69.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 31c | 69.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 23c | 63.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 36c | 63.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 25c | 62.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 54.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…29f0backed Yes | 28c | 53.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Yes | 25c | 49.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 30c | 49.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 24c | 43.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 72c | 40.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed No | 71c | 37.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a4…d314backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…0caebacked No | 75c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 71c | 30.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…cf43backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…aa33backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Butcher's Stain win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jane Austen's Period Drama win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.