Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc68a7580de7f1e7885273fd2b9b951bf6ee2274a701999853cae7c9d9a2f7b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b54…6f4bbacked No | 49c | 7,782$3,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…fe42backed No | 50c | 7,044$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3961backed No | 16c | 5,956$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.06 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 52c | 5,444$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.07 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 54c | 5,300$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.83 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…7039backed Yes | 65c | 3,286$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.16 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…9a73backed Yes | 46c | 3,010$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.59 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…14cebacked No | 1c | 2,778$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 13c | 2,747$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.86 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 50c | 2,500$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.23 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 49c | 2,500$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.95 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…6984backed No | 1c | 2,128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…6ea2backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…c2ddbacked No | 41c | 2,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 15c | 1,732$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 13c | 1,642$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.22 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed No | 1c | 1,422$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 21c | 1,385$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.54 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 12c | 1,332$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 50c | 1,220$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.2 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b87…fa7bbacked No | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 53c | 973$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…bb41backed No | 50c | 962.29$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.27 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked Yes | 49c | 905.18$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.05 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 53c | 902$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 51c | 892.16$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.16 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 51c | 886$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…5d80backed No | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed No | 47c | 717$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked No | 43c | 690$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…2310backed No | 47c | 683$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…1d2ebacked Yes | 66c | 679.99$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 28c | 624.17$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.86 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 49c | 567.72$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.38 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…0c57backed Yes | 53c | 552$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 49c | 550$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 60c | 539.47$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…e203backed Yes | 48c | 531.17$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.04 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 47c | 508$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…e122backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf130…88ddbacked Yes | 50c | 480.52$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.52 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…2c7ebacked No | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…58edbacked Yes | 47c | 378.21$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.45 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked Yes | 53c | 362$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked No | 47c | 362$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed Yes | 47c | 350$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…9a20backed Yes | 49c | 343.74$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.71 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed Yes | 51c | 335$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d09…42b7backed No | 49c | 335$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 34c | 327.58$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 51c | 317.4$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.53 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 36c | 300$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed No | 47c | 290$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…7754backed Yes | 53c | 288$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked No | 47c | 283$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 51c | 276.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 50c | 264.6$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked No | 47c | 255$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Yes | 53c | 255$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed No | 49c | 247$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…a432backed No | 34c | 223$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 51c | 200.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e797backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…4eaabacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…35e6backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…38d2backed No | 47c | 185$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 49c | 180.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed Yes | 57c | 176.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bd…6bbabacked Yes | 48c | 126.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…92eebacked No | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…d967backed No | 48c | 104.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14be…4498backed Yes | 48c | 104.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…a6c2backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +6.4wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…8aa7backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…b7bfbacked No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed No | 48c | 99.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…8addbacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb484…b19bbacked Yes | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 47c | 92.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…1267backed Yes | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 52c | 89.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed No | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…da6dbacked Yes | 52c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…9e0bbacked Yes | 55c | 78.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1e…0a48backed No | 49c | 78.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…0387backed No | 35c | 76.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…f6c7backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 50c | 65.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…74e3backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8d…6e40backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +301.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…b03cbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…e439backed No | 50c | 48.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 75c | 45.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…db77backed No | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?this page
- Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Yes won
- Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.