Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07db52ff06d4ed1b07b0ac0aba2f5634a3f7868811456fba01f6fbb4b187cda1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgetown Hoyasof Butler Bulldogs, Georgetown Hoyas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,569 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 62c | 1,328$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Butler Bulldogs | 46c | 840.35$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.33 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 67c | 678$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Georgetown Hoyas | 62c | 585.89$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Georgetown Hoyas | 42c | 462.44$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.89 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed Butler Bulldogs | 38c | 462$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked Butler Bulldogs | 38c | 461$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed Butler Bulldogs | 38c | 405$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Butler Bulldogs | 33c | 363$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Butler Bulldogs | 44c | 349.93$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Georgetown Hoyas | 67c | 338$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked Butler Bulldogs | 33c | 330$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +203%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Butler Bulldogs | 33c | 323$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Butler Bulldogs | 49c | 279.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Butler Bulldogs | 42c | 169.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 56c | 144.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Georgetown Hoyas | 69c | 143.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 122.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 106.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Georgetown Hoyas | 47c | 105.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Georgetown Hoyas | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 83.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Georgetown Hoyas | 47c | 62.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 46c | 58.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Butler Bulldogs | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Georgetown Hoyas | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 33.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Butler Bulldogs | 37c | 28.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Georgetown Hoyas | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Georgetown Hoyas | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.