La Liga · resolved market
Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x903b8a29bf85f974c2ec6b89851e967117d0844d2523c06f35febf656c01a8d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3143…cd52backed No | 80c | 1,473$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…78e4backed Yes | 6c | 1,239$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked No | 78c | 1,026$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 20c | 955$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 20c | 927$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 18c | 900.25$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…4c32backed Yes | 11c | 890.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 18c | 887.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 777.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked No | 79c | 712$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 4c | 547.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 21c | 498.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 79c | 493.09$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 7c | 445.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…ef8ebacked No | 80c | 409$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 23c | 369.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…e6cebacked Yes | 21c | 366$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…046fbacked Yes | 4c | 360.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f93…bc5cbacked Yes | 6c | 347.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked Yes | 21c | 346$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…de6bbacked Yes | 10c | 299.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45de…5e6cbacked Yes | 8c | 298.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…c0bbbacked Yes | 13c | 266.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…037cbacked No | 79c | 240.1$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed Yes | 7c | 207.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 6c | 206.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50f…450cbacked Yes | 24c | 204.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed No | 79c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…ee3ebacked Yes | 6c | 186.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 17c | 179.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 78c | 156.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 63c | 135.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…ee77backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…7f37backed Yes | 16c | 109.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…fd3bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5052…c04abacked Yes | 26c | 96.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 16c | 96.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…d024backed Yes | 16c | 89.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…ba9bbacked Yes | 34c | 88.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No | 73c | 82.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cf…5d2bbacked Yes | 25c | 80.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…e0e7backed No | 73c | 68.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…def4backed No | 76c | 67.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked No | 75c | 54.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 55c | 49.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked No | 78c | 33.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…6bc6backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cb…7828backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…dd10backed Yes | 39c | 25.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…dd01backed No | 69c | 15.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 79c | 14.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?this page
- Will Andoni Iraola be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Didier Deschamps be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?Yes won
- Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Massimiliano Allegri be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Mikel Arteta be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Unai Emery be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Zinedine Zidane be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.