La Liga · resolved market
Will Zinedine Zidane be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c7c6d686a602b47a71d114a6e1a0b76fd04a866a1abaa55b1860670347998a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 5 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 4,335$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 2c | 2,344$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe746…ff6abacked Yes | 18c | 549.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 78c | 389.14$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed Yes | 4c | 292$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zinedine Zidane be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?this page
- Will Andoni Iraola be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Didier Deschamps be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?Yes won
- Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Massimiliano Allegri be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Mikel Arteta be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
- Will Unai Emery be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.