Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca0317f9f1f729d2da32c354389b88cbd15c4e26f9b399bef0c4d6f411a754b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, Global Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Paper Rex | 72c | 3,465$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.11 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Global Esports | 8c | 1,082$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Global Esports | 30c | 1,021$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.44 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Global Esports | 28c | 999.95$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked Paper Rex | 76c | 883.71$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.48 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Global Esports | 30c | 637.53$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Global Esports | 21c | 591.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.19 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Global Esports | 30c | 486.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Global Esports | 35c | 337.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Paper Rex | 75c | 330.82$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Global Esports | 4c | 278$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Global Esports | 30c | 264.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Global Esports | 23c | 261$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Global Esports | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Global Esports | 24c | 196.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Global Esports | 31c | 166.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Global Esports | 25c | 143.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed Paper Rex | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed Paper Rex | 80c | 132.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked Global Esports | 27c | 119.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Global Esports | 33c | 104$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Global Esports | 23c | 102.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ac…b7c9backed Global Esports | 40c | 100.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Paper Rex | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Global Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ec…9dadbacked Global Esports | 17c | 89.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Paper Rex | 72c | 77.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed Global Esports | 39c | 73.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…cb8ebacked Global Esports | 38c | 67.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Paper Rex | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Global Esports | 36c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Paper Rex | 74c | 57.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Global Esports | 23c | 47.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Global Esports | 35c | 44.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…24d1backed Paper Rex | 59c | 40.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed Paper Rex | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Global Esports | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Paper Rex | 65c | 29.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Paper Rex | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 24.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Paper Rex | 65c | 22.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3924…ee05backed Paper Rex | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 61cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)Global Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 1 WinnerGlobal Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.