Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe633bef93c6c990c9d8683a531035640afd605a053985be6c9226350a493cef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Global Esportsof Paper Rex, Global Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Paper Rex | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Global Esports | 55c | 4,234$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Global Esports | 56c | 1,756$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Global Esports | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Global Esports | 54c | 1,164$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.29 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Global Esports | 56c | 799.98$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Paper Rex | 44c | 795.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Paper Rex | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Global Esports | 50c | 566.73$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.37 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Paper Rex | 45c | 549.97$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Paper Rex | 48c | 543.79$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.79 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Paper Rex | 44c | 538.38$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.32 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Paper Rex | 44c | 371.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Paper Rex | 43c | 366.27$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Paper Rex | 47c | 328.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Global Esports | 58c | 298.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Paper Rex | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Global Esports | 53c | 226.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed Paper Rex | 41c | 193.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Paper Rex | 44c | 193.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Paper Rex | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Global Esports | 59c | 166.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Paper Rex | 48c | 159$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Paper Rex | 45c | 149.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…f09bbacked Global Esports | 72c | 137.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Paper Rex | 46c | 134.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 177 | 40.1%71 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Paper Rex | 44c | 131.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Global Esports | 21c | 124.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +227.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Paper Rex | 79c | 112$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 177 | 57.1%101 W · 76 L | +15.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Paper Rex | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Global Esports | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Paper Rex | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed Paper Rex | 56c | 88.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…c211backed Paper Rex | 46c | 86.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Global Esports | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Global Esports | 52c | 69.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Paper Rex | 45c | 68.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Paper Rex | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Global Esports | 53c | 63.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed Global Esports | 54c | 55.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Global Esports | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Global Esports | 52c | 43.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Paper Rex | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +12.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Global Esports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Paper Rex | 46c | 35.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Paper Rex | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Paper Rex | 50c | 31.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Paper Rex | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Global Esports | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Paper Rex | 46c | 22.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Global Esports | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 1 WinnerGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.