TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Macro Indicators · resolved market

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb401…df2abacked Yes63c3,863$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.341323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-67.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes49c2,000$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.972748.1%13 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+28.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5287…3a16backed No41c1,950$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.38944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b0…9d34backed Yes70c1,643$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.984037.5%15 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dde…b8f1backed No37c1,259$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac3e…8150backed Yes52c832.85$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.71911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-78.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c5…b081backed Yes65c825$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.48333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No38c438.89$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb2…a30cbacked No12c416.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No44c298.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9211359.3%67 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No42c275.64$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7417528%49 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a1…3840backed Yes60c266$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.431040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No50c232.59$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.061764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes60c220$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes55c218.05$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.942433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce37…7d93backed Yes47c213.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3774…3735backed No47c212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478c…5939backed No47c212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b60…15edbacked No47c212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…915bbacked No47c212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d38…f497backed No47c212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8835…4ed5backed No48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed Yes64c200$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed No46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50a6…0378backed No52c190$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d7…7af7backed Yes53c188$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ce…5f8ebacked Yes53c188$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d2d…5025backed Yes53c188$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc1…4090backed Yes52c188$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6c…086dbacked Yes53c188$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbf…9699backed Yes53c188$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01d2…5d6cbacked Yes53c188$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d75…65fbbacked Yes53c188$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…3f04backed Yes47c181.51$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa81d…7447backed Yes61c164.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb451…37f3backed No53c143.62$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No42c140.35$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6410836.1%39 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8b…00a3backed No31c134.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…fa0bbacked No53c124.18$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9915148.3%73 W · 78 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed No45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes49c105$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7519931.7%63 W · 136 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed Yes73c100.33$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e6…aaa1backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a9…0c9abacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1bf…45bdbacked Yes46c94.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.27825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ff…13eabacked No38c86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd58c…8954backed No52c83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes68c82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.242040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d6…40febacked Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5e…332ebacked No50c73.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed No44c68.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7257…fc40backed No27c67.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.45911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8735…7301backed Yes66c63.86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125e…d1dbbacked Yes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No53c56.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.793743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No41c54.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2129913.7%41 W · 258 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…eb47backed Yes48c51.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+74.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc23…8bc9backed No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x905d…2c17backed No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18e…44e3backed Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed No55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3406…6ce0backed No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2891…fa1dbacked No51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No23c49.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.372222.7%5 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-55%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No50c48.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.252941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb31f…2e03backed Yes45c48.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1029…9b36backed No41c48.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814a…ab7abacked Yes60c46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff6…db55backed No43c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No46c41.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.217466.2%49 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes51c41.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2620242.1%85 W · 117 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b2…746abacked Yes53c37.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c00…1c78backed No56c35.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc99…19edbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No49c34.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1211…2c42backed No42c34.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1242…8dfebacked No30c34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.250%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa42a…cb8ebacked No46c31.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked No32c31.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No49c29.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4514024.3%34 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaac…2e35backed Yes58c28.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c1…028bbacked Yes76c28.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558c…1ec1backed No41c27.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab8…c189backed Yes72c27.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c2…21dbbacked Yes63c26.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b14…6d17backed Yes55c22.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.124100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c17…53b7backed Yes63c21.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc818…64c8backed Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes57c18.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.