TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over57c35,313$20,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,307.953447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c30,289$14,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,532.492,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c26,565$12,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,452.791,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over67c17,800$11,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,874.141650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over43c8,996$3,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,127.9610650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under58c8,000$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,639.9916045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over42c7,506$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,353.69475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+109.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under38c6,480$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.2632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over46c5,388$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.973450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over42c5,287$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.25349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over38c5,280$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,273.5813636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f53…c2b7backed Under59c4,990$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c3,654$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.3898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over42c3,447$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.343450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under57c3,015$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.1868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c2,322$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.541144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under41c2,133$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.2349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c2,001$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.6251139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c1,917$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.2691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c1,794$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under43c1,625$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over40c1,205$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7238033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over39c1,180$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.071872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x52d0…591cbacked Over42c1,101$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under57c1,100$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6274860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under53c1,062$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.2712350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over54c1,001$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0415450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under58c974.8$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.383773%27 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under48c968$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.634156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Under43c716.11$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.461136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under58c606.12$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5519952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under58c606.12$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5514752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over54c587.89$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.1320431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Over62c550.55$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.771145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under44c494.72$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.042857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c477.97$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over43c431.24$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.814339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over56c409.41$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.141060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c403.87$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1227453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1565219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…920fbacked Under43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x662d…d041backed Over40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over35c384.4$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.862737%10 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under60c383.89$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.33616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-75.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over35c379.53$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.6946742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over58c378.05$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7811964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over74c365.38$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.851181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under58c357.52$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1732854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under58c336.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9614159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over42c329.97$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3836456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over60c325.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.132450%12 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under61c321.28$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6914651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c305.74$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2830828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under57c300.06$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5439354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over38c292.24$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.19825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over57c290.25$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.681963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over66c278.84$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.811070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over42c274.36$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.79826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under58c270.86$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.311040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under49c250.06$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.698958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0941…b254backed Under40c248.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+83.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over42c240.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4213447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over42c239.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.194242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over48c236.19$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8229862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under43c232.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over67c232.09$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.591656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under43c206.89$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.361747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under57c200$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11513146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over34c199.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.973756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Under59c195.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.11353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over43c193.16$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.14553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under57c192.54$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2080…6d80backed Over64c168.61$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Under58c168.22$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.571435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under58c161.9$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.95642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under12c160$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63030%9 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+110%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over35c154.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8334553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Over36c154.92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ed…b7adbacked Over51c153.67$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over66c148.71$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under40c147.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.587042.9%30 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2819353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Under55c142.8$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.186850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Under44c142.76$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed Over42c139.95$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.17475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+110.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ca8…c044backed Over43c136.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+25.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under61c131.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.083759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Over40c119.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed Over42c116.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.784374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under52c113.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9643058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under49c112.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.413157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Over43c112.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.012828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under58c111.64$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7514258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3217744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over47c107.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.945168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over31c105.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.612152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over40c103.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7431958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.