Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x848bbeb780c987084257c64918f8236902704fbcdbaa650d7fdcb455fd92cd07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 69c | 3,224$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 2,597$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.25 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Over | 70c | 952.04$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.32 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 31c | 806$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 35c | 771.76$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.76 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Under | 29c | 582.41$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.38 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 565.75$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.43 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 64c | 499.41$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.79 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 31c | 457.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 422.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Under | 25c | 405.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 74c | 401.83$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 71c | 346.24$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 68c | 315.88$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 30c | 299.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 66c | 289.43$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 31c | 280$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 15c | 278.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 5c | 254.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 59c | 249.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 39c | 214.29$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 74c | 193.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Over | 70c | 182.37$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Over | 70c | 182.37$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 179.54$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 69c | 158.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 69c | 129.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 69c | 126$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 31c | 123.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 64c | 114.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 30c | 100.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 31c | 97.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over | 67c | 91.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 33c | 87.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Under | 40c | 83.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 68c | 76.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d40…883bbacked Under | 35c | 61.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Over | 69c | 60.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 69c | 50.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 49.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Over | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 63c | 35.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…d0bfbacked Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…5099backed Over | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…bbb5backed Over | 69c | 25.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…cc05backed Over | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb15…ad34backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)SS Lazio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.