Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x295dbf8181444b5f220ea505948d1c7b587aedb51d09740772e8de3bb49f5fc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 22c | 6,663$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,196.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 69c | 3,197$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 17c | 1,995$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.62 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 66c | 1,894$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.51 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Under | 70c | 1,465$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 1,344$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.35 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 12c | 789.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.61 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 24c | 624.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.46 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Under | 80c | 617.5$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 78c | 600$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 447.44$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.57 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 29c | 366.76$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 72c | 341.39$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 16c | 297.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.81 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Under | 80c | 296.4$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 18c | 280.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 77c | 271.21$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.83 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 22c | 259.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 251.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 80c | 201.72$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 181.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 71c | 146.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 69c | 137.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 71c | 124.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 12c | 119.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +110%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Over | 22c | 117.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…e3e1backed Over | 30c | 111.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Under | 70c | 103.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +206%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 58c | 98.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 17c | 79.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…d1a5backed Under | 72c | 68.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 30c | 63.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 78c | 48.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 27c | 46.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 33c | 43.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 30c | 41.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 29c | 35.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 70c | 32.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 34c | 29.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…e79fbacked Under | 72c | 28.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Under | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Under | 69c | 18.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5this page
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)SS Lazio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.