Serie A · resolved market
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef30f17d7f1e6bb6244b2ce9252d36024c429d1b52b36c881b72d7aa3e2d3629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Udinese Calcioof SS Lazio, Udinese Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea48…c596backed SS Lazio | 20c | 1,261$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed SS Lazio | 6c | 943.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Udinese Calcio | 79c | 802.48$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.55 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Udinese Calcio | 80c | 707.87$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.57 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…832abacked SS Lazio | 6c | 246.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed SS Lazio | 11c | 199.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked SS Lazio | 23c | 194.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked SS Lazio | 21c | 167.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Udinese Calcio | 79c | 144.16$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed SS Lazio | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Udinese Calcio | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked SS Lazio | 23c | 97.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked SS Lazio | 17c | 89.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Udinese Calcio | 78c | 79.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed SS Lazio | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Udinese Calcio | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Udinese Calcio | 79c | 33.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Udinese Calcio | 79c | 33.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Udinese Calcio | 80c | 29.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Udinese Calcio | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Udinese Calcio | 77c | 22.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Udinese Calcio | 79c | 21.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Udinese Calcio | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb599…b499backed Udinese Calcio | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)this page
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)SS Lazio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.