Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d4402313a9fcf3e12c998d5d664627a9a255d270ac3e71c6fd64da45485e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof XLG Gaming, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming | 25c | 1,082$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.84 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming | 30c | 994.18$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.29 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 772.81$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.29 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked EDward Gaming | 53c | 772.72$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.24 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed XLG Gaming | 18c | 711.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.41 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…2898backed XLG Gaming | 49c | 646.85$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked EDward Gaming | 80c | 501.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed XLG Gaming | 35c | 479.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 366$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed EDward Gaming | 73c | 359.62$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 333.41$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming | 31c | 326.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked EDward Gaming | 56c | 308.14$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…24dfbacked EDward Gaming | 75c | 252.51$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed EDward Gaming | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…cb8ebacked EDward Gaming | 78c | 234.92$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed XLG Gaming | 16c | 233$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…2245backed XLG Gaming | 45c | 221.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed XLG Gaming | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 209.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 537 | 42.1%226 W · 311 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming | 27c | 191.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed XLG Gaming | 7c | 178.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked XLG Gaming | 41c | 178.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked EDward Gaming | 57c | 150.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming | 41c | 143.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked EDward Gaming | 56c | 135.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed EDward Gaming | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked EDward Gaming | 56c | 124$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +227.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming | 37c | 112.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed XLG Gaming | 12c | 111.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming | 54c | 106.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed XLG Gaming | 42c | 106$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed EDward Gaming | 43c | 97.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed XLG Gaming | 37c | 93.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed EDward Gaming | 62c | 72.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed XLG Gaming | 45c | 68.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed XLG Gaming | 18c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked XLG Gaming | 42c | 67.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming | 37c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed XLG Gaming | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…4d91backed EDward Gaming | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed XLG Gaming | 37c | 53.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed EDward Gaming | 59c | 44.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked XLG Gaming | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7b93backed EDward Gaming | 73c | 43.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked XLG Gaming | 40c | 42.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed XLG Gaming | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed XLG Gaming | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…8144backed EDward Gaming | 58c | 34.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 23.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked EDward Gaming | 74c | 14.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China PlayoffsEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.