Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdd835d8102e0fd8eac8dbbd4181a833d505197523a1e9b9b5c8e0386b971ffd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof XLG Gaming, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked EDward Gaming | 72c | 3,594$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.93 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 1,193$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.48 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…24dfbacked EDward Gaming | 80c | 1,060$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.55 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked EDward Gaming | 42c | 792.6$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed XLG Gaming | 22c | 701.02$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming | 20c | 565.69$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked XLG Gaming | 35c | 542.12$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.85 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed EDward Gaming | 53c | 536.43$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.48 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming | 10c | 523.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed EDward Gaming | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming | 32c | 485.05$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.06 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…2898backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 480.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed XLG Gaming | 9c | 335$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming | 36c | 286.52$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked EDward Gaming | 48c | 207.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming | 60c | 194.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming | 30c | 189.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked XLG Gaming | 43c | 185.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked EDward Gaming | 43c | 177.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed XLG Gaming | 18c | 150.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed EDward Gaming | 64c | 138.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed XLG Gaming | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed XLG Gaming | 37c | 95.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked XLG Gaming | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 93 | 14%13 W · 80 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked EDward Gaming | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed XLG Gaming | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed EDward Gaming | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed EDward Gaming | 55c | 64.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked EDward Gaming | 61c | 58.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed XLG Gaming | 29c | 54.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked XLG Gaming | 37c | 52.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed XLG Gaming | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed EDward Gaming | 70c | 51.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed XLG Gaming | 38c | 47.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 46.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed XLG Gaming | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked XLG Gaming | 62c | 39.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed EDward Gaming | 61c | 38.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked XLG Gaming | 41c | 36.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked XLG Gaming | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…8144backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 31.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 31.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…4d91backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 30.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…c4a1backed EDward Gaming | 50c | 21.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed EDward Gaming | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed EDward Gaming | 78c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China PlayoffsEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.