MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29e1462d6f88335bbc3575a30e895a619712cf0f0490ad8f4a06e75443770332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Philadelphia Phillies, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,266 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2165…f598backed Boston Red Sox | 18c | 9,607$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,869.43 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 5,798$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.47 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 4,913$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.52 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 3,381$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.19 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 2,512$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.07 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 1,264$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,066$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.04 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 779.31$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.31 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 707$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.33 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 692.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 661.4$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.17 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 618.9$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.14 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 606.9$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.9 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 584.86$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.46 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 528.07$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.74 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 523.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 512.03$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 502$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 390.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 373$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 302.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 261.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 259.66$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Boston Red Sox | 20c | 253.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 234$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 231.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 228.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 226$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 224.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 222.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 193.79$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 185.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…c919backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 141.88$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 134.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 133.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 117.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 114.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 100.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…1c18backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 86.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…612dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 82.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Boston Red Sox | 19c | 82.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 72.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 65.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 61.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 54.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 53.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 43.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 27.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 27.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…cb8ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 20.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Boston Red Sox | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.