Earnings · resolved market
Will PNC Financial Services (PNC) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc55b2174a644dbb32f555268a40f3fca76398b486640d4f66e0efe6256a019fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed No | 10c | 1,204$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…d771backed No | 3c | 1,192$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed No | 11c | 896.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 14c | 740.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…3115backed No | 9c | 565.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…fc49backed No | 11c | 560.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +265%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked No | 19c | 512.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 11c | 451.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c2…94c0backed No | 12c | 423$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bc…8a38backed No | 35c | 386.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 73c | 365.8$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 354.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 12c | 315.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d21…df94backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed No | 10c | 296.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4430…215ebacked No | 25c | 284.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…8c81backed No | 8c | 281.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8b…1754backed No | 12c | 271.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 16c | 225.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5371…83ccbacked No | 10c | 177.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…1d49backed No | 12c | 166.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed No | 16c | 158.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…4c6fbacked No | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed No | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed No | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed5…83efbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…cd36backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 96.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 11c | 92.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 13c | 91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…6952backed No | 13c | 87.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…cb8ebacked No | 12c | 85.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…153cbacked No | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…4133backed No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +462.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb09e…8211backed No | 16c | 67.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed No | 17c | 65.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…9969backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Yes | 79c | 20.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.