Boxing · resolved market
Will Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa00d45268a89b2b2f1fe150ad04c5ebf376ed94f5100bd882fd26a28dccecb0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x110f…8f39backed Yes | 48c | 6,206$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fb…57dbbacked Yes | 61c | 4,434$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…6754backed No | 72c | 4,172$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…f929backed Yes | 45c | 3,677$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411b…a334backed No | 66c | 3,403$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf55…de06backed No | 44c | 3,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed No | 17c | 2,911$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…e0eebacked No | 28c | 2,367$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…04d8backed No | 2c | 2,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…a722backed No | 46c | 2,053$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3ae2backed No | 47c | 1,951$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 70c | 1,858$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…0f18backed No | 8c | 1,857$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 3c | 1,704$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…a178backed No | 6c | 1,657$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…f027backed Yes | 71c | 1,552$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fc…004dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,551$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…84cdbacked Yes | 28c | 1,545$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…270dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,448$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked No | 43c | 1,206$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…cb8ebacked No | 35c | 1,100$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 52c | 1,060$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 43c | 975.23$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.21 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…ad1cbacked No | 15c | 880$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 78c | 729.4$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd172…0c45backed Yes | 71c | 701.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…1cb4backed No | 74c | 685$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a39…0961backed Yes | 62c | 544.49$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 55c | 500$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…89bebacked No | 23c | 438.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…3325backed No | 49c | 427.17$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…9e0dbacked No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf80e…2af8backed No | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 4c | 320$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 9c | 310.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…b38bbacked Yes | 28c | 300$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 9c | 293.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked No | 4c | 264.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed Yes | 80c | 241.16$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…2467backed No | 10c | 224$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…6ee9backed Yes | 54c | 221.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed No | 22c | 213.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed Yes | 53c | 208.68$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 61c | 194.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 21c | 191.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed No | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30e…1ceabacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…252ebacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…df8dbacked No | 60c | 93.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 19c | 81.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…8008backed No | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +95%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e81…9583backed Yes | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…63c7backed No | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 54c | 64.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…dc88backed No | 30c | 54.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a7…0cdabacked No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…c828backed No | 39c | 50.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca9…afb6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d5…938fbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Yes | 54c | 42.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +308.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…92febacked No | 30c | 40.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…8449backed Yes | 61c | 38.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 66c | 35.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…5416backed Yes | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +305.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…e652backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150b…8f06backed Yes | 58c | 19.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked Yes | 55c | 19.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?this page
- Will Jake Paul walk out to 23 by Jake Paul?No won
- Will Jake Paul walk out to Got It On Me by Pop Smoke?No won
- Will Jake Paul walk out to In the Air Tonight by Phil Collins?No won
- Will Jake Paul walk out to Paper Planes by M.I.A.?No won
- Will Jake Paul walk out to Rockin’ Around the Christmas Tree by Brenda Lee?No won
- Will Jake Paul walk out to Something Different by Why Don’t We?No won
- Will Jake Paul walk out to Till I Die by Machine Gun Kelly?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.